DJ Industrial Average – Feb 11, 2026
DJIA is cranking … that being said, believe we are hitting some stiff resistance but, more importantly, this video is to simply show the harmony …
Tag: DJIA
Projection from 1896 – 11/1/2025
The projections and patterns say ‘resistance’ here … further strength could truly be a parabolic blow off and, that, is scary to be honest … buckle up
Here’s the DJIA squaring out price and time from it’s all time low, it’s inception in May 1896 and the use of 28.98 (the all time low) and how THAT low has responsible for ALL major support and projections. Pretty wild … take some time to study this chart. It’s a beauty …
Folks, resistance for now, ELSE this is truly going to lift off and, frankly, you might run w/ it a little bit but that’s really the last thing we want. As in everything, PRICE and TIME will have to balance and the emotional euphoria of the masses in a parabolic explosion ALWAYS gets countered, remember it’s all polarity, by a pretty wicked counter move which wipes everyone out and then … it’s back to square one. Trust me, I know.
I’m NOT calling for a crash or anything like that. Frankly, I don’t know how I’d see a crash coming? Isn’t that why they are crashes? No, I’m saying, resistance here and a pause or nice 15 percent or so pullback is needed and makes sense.
Certainly believe we have legs higher, but cool it off, a little, for now.
What to watch – September 21, 2025
Major patterns completing … expect big resistance, soon!
I think everyone can feel an upcoming correction or point of resistance approaching for the US equities market. There is a LOT going on … I can tell you, without reservation, that I have no idea which way we will go …
Intuitively I sense resistance approaching – why?
It all goes back to the circle, square and the triangle … 3 in 1 … square the circle … vesica piscis .. blah blah blah.
I really appreciated all the people texting me on 9/16/25 or 3/4/5 the ‘natural square’ date …yes, we all learned Pythagorean Theorem and something about the hypotenuse and blah blah blah. Remember? What we WERE NOT taught was the Pythagorean Theorem is actually one of the foundational building blocks for everything. Yeah, you read that right. So, I wanted to text them back “thanks for the reminder of the mathematical foundations of this mathematical 3D matrix of consciousness” so, instead, I texted back something like “ha, thanks!” What a great day! 🙂
So, back to the square … say the sides are all equal to Unit 1 (note, this has a TON to do with what is on the back of the US Dollar Bill. :)). To bisect this square we use a 45 degree angle (who’s side is now 1.4142 – the square root of 2 ;)).
That 45 degree angle, anytime, it’s touched will show a corresponding PRICE and TIME equivalency. Price on the vertical and Time on the horizontal. THAT should act as support or resistance, depending on the direction of price movement. In this case we are going UP, quite a lot frankly.
So, on the DJIA and the NYSE Index we have pretty big TIME/PRICE square outs. The DJIA from the all time low of 08/08/1896 at 28.48. Today, that was 47160 calendar days ago … so, if tomorrow PRICE goes up and smacks into 47161 EXPECT resistance. Again, doesn’t have to work, it could gap and go over it … it’s all probability.
The NYSE Index, from its inception and first day of trading on 01/03/1966 was 21811 days ago. So, tomorrow the price target will be 21812.
These two numbers represent TIME AND PRICE equality and, therefore, SHOULD act as resistance.
The other thing that I’ve been watching is the banks/financials. We have had these two LONG TERM targets for a while and, it does appear, they are being hit/close to being hit. IF the market is going to hit resistance THEN the financials and banks will be stopping in/around here and a pullback SHOULD ensue.
Folks, take a moment to peak at the KBW above … EVERY SINGLE SWING (purple measured moves) has been the same and, last Friday we closed right at the measured move price. There are targets higher, as shown, but boy are we close, right?
The XLF is getting into lofty territory …
Here’s the Global Dow:
I was looking at the YEN and decided to peak at the Nikkei 225 and holy smokes was this one a barn burner! A 75 year ABCD projection that hit on Friday …
Take the USD … sure looks like it is getting close to a MAJOR buy pattern:
And, last chart, Mr. Trusty Dusty XLP/NYA. We finally broke the 12+ year support zone (kind expected) and the market has taken off. Folks, here’s the BIGGEST PATTERN out there in my very humbled opinion. It’s a PERFECT BUY pattern on the XLP/NYA a little lower.
I can say w/ conviction, I DO NOT want to be long stocks when that level is hit as I expect it to be MAJOR support which corresponds to BIG RESISTANCE FOR EQUITIES.
So, we are so close to some BIG PATTERNS completing …
Good to be back – Bart
PS – might want to check this out. Pretty trippy … why would I put this here you might ask yourself? See above … the SAME GEOMETRY that we are talking about above is present in this sphere that is dated 12,000+ years ago. Wakey wakey eggs and bakey … 😉
Dow Jones Industrial – May 14, 2024
The Square Out is still in force BUT it could fail, which would be surprising, to be honest. This square out reminds me of the Rubik’s Cube
Last post on the DJIA: https://bartscharts.com/2023/12/18/dow-jones-industrial-average-december-18-2023/
Just updating the DJIA average post charts …
The entire read area is the big zone of resistance. So, while it is exciting to see the strength of the market (s) – they are banging into STIFF resistance.
So, CAVEAT EMPTOR, for now … let’s see them blow thru the above resistance before I really get on the bandwagon.
Then there is my “go to” – XLP / $NYA.
Yes, there are only 30 stocks compared to the 5000+ for the NYA, I’m looking for “institutional sentiment” by the ratio.
The thesis being IF this was truly RISK ON THEN this ratio would be falling hard. Note, it is not. In fact, it found support at the largest (pink) corrective move in the history of the ration (roughly 20+ years) and there was a “daily 3 drives” right at that level and, thus far, it’s showing strength.
Hence, the market should be finding resistance/going down … it’s not so something is amiss now isn’t it? Yes.
Either the ratio blows thru (to the downside) the .618 retracement and the .618 abcd and the largest measured move down ever (pink arrow) and, finally, a daily 3 drives then YES this is a very bullish market and the ratio will probably go lower causing the markets to explode even higher and target the lower level … then she tops.
Who knows? For now, I’m just waiting to see which way she blows and then try (operative word) to get a piece of it and not be greedy or emotional. Tough sometimes, isn’t it?
Then we can’t forget to mention the coolest/craziest square out that we’ll ever see in our lifetimes again – today is 18, 121 calendar days from the all time low in 1974. I took a look at the last time the trend line was hit and it took almost 5 months for the market to finally give away. So, perhaps we shuck and jive up hear up and down until she just gives? Certainly a possibility….
Take a look at the chart on the hourly. Note, the “exact” trend line could be off w/ slippage and the chart package but close enough. So, I just don’t see the market taking off like crazy w/ this square out happening – now. But, the market is always right, so maybe it doesn’t care about the biggest square out ever ? Perhaps not?
DJIA since 1897
Appears we have a pretty important trend line w/ big bearish divergence on the Monthly.
Note, cropped the wick in 1929 to hit the highs in 2000 and 2022.
The Markets – March 24, 2024
The NYSE Index HIT the square out at 18, 059 and reacted very very minimally (which surprised me to be honest) and is walking up the wall of worry. Today that level is at 18,070.
As you can see above, we have not CLOSED ABOVE the 1:1 trend line from the all time low and I suspect that it will continue to provide MAJOR resistance BUT as it happened last week, it can keep squaring itself out until it reaches the ‘final’ square out. As long as we do not get a close above (monthly) the 1:1 trend line this market remains vulnerable (very ?) to a pullback that could last, at a minimum, a couple months.
Here’s the DJIA approaching or hit an area of MAJOR resistance.
Same story w/ the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ:
The Russell 2000 is VERY weak compared to the other indices:
On prior posts we have focused on the Banks/Financials … the XLF has outperformed and made new highs … the overall market has followed. We are VERY close to a BIG ABCD completing on the XLF. If you remember the post on the Banks/Financials a few months ago, the XLF pattern failed and the market kept going higher.
If we take a look at the Banking index (NASDAQ) you will see it has been lagging badly compared to the overall general market. REAL leadership in the Banks/Financials would have this MUCH higher.
Sure looks like a zig-zag correction and 1.68AB=CD was hit Friday.
Where are you Mr. KRE?
The VIX is/has been flirting w/ going single digits but, it’s been LOW for a very very long time. There is NO FEAR in the market right now.
The sentiment/ fear-greed/bullishness is at MAX levels … NOBODY is bearish.
I was on my good friend Larry’s show and we were discussing he unrelenting advance present. He mentioned, in some weekend mail traffic that the last week on WED-THS there was the HUGE rallly of over 1o0 handles in the S&P500 while awaiting the FED’s decision/action. On both of those days the cumlative net open interest dropped.
We need to also pay attention to the companies that are, basically, controlling the market as custodians. Vanguard, State Street and Blackrock control roughly 70% of all trading going on … One would think that these would be at new highs …like everyone else?
Larry showed this over the weekend:
when we look at the shorter term cycles … we can see this one going on w/ the S&P500. Notice the harmony w/ the lunar eclipse and the moons synodic cycle:
A non-correlated, but a goody, at looking for both bullish and bearish inflections in the market – ratio analysis of XLP/NYA is VERY close to MAJOR support which, in the past, has been “bearish” for stocks. Again, it’s a “institutional gauge” of risk/risk off.
When it’s risky – the smart guys like Tim but toilet paper …the XLP does WORSE (from a relative strength standpoint) than the overall market and vice versa.
The target appearing on the XLP/NYA is the LARGEST MEASURED MOVE correction in the ratio since the inception of the XLP. PAY ATTENTION TO THIS LEVEL and the .618 retracement (from the all time low) a little lower.
There are MANY stocks that are manically parabolic … stocks like LLY will crumble and fall like a stone. As demonstrated before, the parabolic moves, from a pure subconscious level, have to balance and that massive move up will be followed by a big correction. It happens, every time …
NVDA will do the same … yes, I believe NVDA is going higher BUT I think we need a good ole’ corrective move to cool everything down.
Here’s LLY parabolic:
Here is LLY in MONTHLY LOG scale .. bumping right into the upper channel:
The market is overextended. Large, monthly targets are being hit.
If a perennial bull – think of taking profit or have some sort of “loss” stop in mind. Some are calling for a MASSIVE TOP and others are saying this bull market continues for years.
I try, the best I can, to just look for patterns.
ACROSS THE BOARD SELL PATTERNS HAVE AND ARE APPEARING …
IF they work, THEN – at a minimum – expect a good 6-8 week “pullback” that must be bought. LET’S JUST WAIT FOR THE FIRST BUY PATTERN TO APPEAR AND LET IT RIP.
IF the fail, THEN – this market could explode higher … into a parabolic run up that will put the 2000’s to shame.
MANAGE THE RISK … that’s all we can do.
Geometry – July 11, 2023
Birthday today .. so spent some time listening to Zen music and just using the crayons.
One purple (crown chakra) line that defines a radius of a circle and then … every turning point thereafter.
Yes, it’s “past tense” but we can use this forward … I try (as you all know) to make my charts “present” or “near real time” and not in the past but for this drill I was just enjoying the geometry …
work w/ me …
cheers – B
Here’s Metatron’s Cube and the DJIA … go follow Mr. Robert Edward Grant. He’s doing amazingly powerful work around the geometry and ratio’s that we use w/ the patterns …I just printed out the DJIA w/ the purple radius and then free handed and used a compass. It might be off a little bit BUT you get the picture … Metatron’s cube, in historical spiritual texts, is responsible for ALL of creation in this 3rd dimension. So, why wouldn’t it work w/ the stock market … right? 😉
so … who is eating who?
last post on current market conditions: https://bartscharts.com/2021/10/17/sometimes-you-eat-the-bar-and-sometimes-it-eats-you/
if your someone trying to get short – sure looks like the bar is eating you …if your trying or are long looks like you are eating the bar … man, this is interesting.
1/ as a PATTERN recognition expert I can say that the PATTERNS for selling equities FAILED over the past two days.
2/ as an intermarket musician I try to look at everything ….
3/ so lets do that ….
- the PATTERNS have failed
- Palladium really looks like another leg down … Palladium down has been equated to NASDAQ down and, to a certain extent, equities down
- NFLX … man, that pattern is REALLY close …
- Banking Index – again, a MASSIVE pattern a little higher …
- XLP/NYA – certainly might have BROKEN DOWN (equity strength) of the 7 month channel …
so what do we do ..
me?
sitting on my hands and looking for a simultaneous 1/NFLX target hit and 2/ BANKING INDEX hit and 3/ XLP/NYA target hit and then SHORT the NASDAQ w/ a vengeance ….
until those 3 criteria are hit I’ll continue to lick my wounds on MJ 🙂 but … seeing the “numbers” come together for NFLX makes me think I might have to break out my timing work … as a side note I recommend you go and BUY Connie’s book (novel, war and peace) the 32nd Jewel .. it’s mind blowing and I’m only on the 3rd chapter because I find myself against a wall and then I go and “find” (I wonder how I find them) books on number theory and Planks constant and inverses and … the rabbit hole just spirals so I’m reading Robert Edward Grant’s “Philomath” and – total mind blown – but it’s helping me go back to Ms. Brown’s expose and the TIME factor becomes understandable but – it’s still elusive in nature – so when I get a bunch of numbers coming together I work backwards to figure out – what- exactly – is the VIBRATION that NFLX is rolling along with …..
the KEY is the DATE of the IPO and, I think (I’m still learning) that first “long term” pullback from the initial impulse move … that is where the rock hits the water and the height of the drop, the weight of the rock , the wind, the moon, the tide and ANYTHING that is PRESENT and PHYSICAL interacts w/ the waves to create the moves we see … it’s really that simple.
IF (and trust me it’s a BIG IF) that’s the case then wouldn’t the mathematics of the ancients (note, probably you and me and anyone else present right now … ) that govern natural harmony work on the markets?
YES .. join me going deeper and deeper and deeper into the rabbit hole …
Palladium and the dead cat?
last post on Palladium: https://bartscharts.com/2021/08/22/important-correlation/
think about it … went to a long term Palladium chart and was able to calculate the low of 80 ish in Jan 1991 (yeah, 30 years ago) and then figured it was close based on the sell off .. well we hit it and YAWN HO HUM I would expect it to EXPLODE off that level … certainly looks like a dead cat bounce to me … hmmm
I like the lower blue level for BIG support and then, perhaps, a chance to buy or get the bounce and exit before it really gets ugly. (hint hint – it isn’t yet)
the Big Short (a pun)
below you will find the SHORT DOW ETF called SDOW. it’s pretty fascinating if you think about it or look at it .. your preference.
basically right around the start of the pandemic around the week of 02/14/20 the volume was HUGE and the SDOW went on a nice run higher. well played … but since then it’s down basically 10X and there is still a lot of buying …
look to the far left and this ETF fell so far and nobody was interested and then last year hit and someone/somebody has been buying and selling this security …
now, of late, if you look closer to the last couple candles and corresponding volume you’ll see that the most BUYING volume ever has come in AND the price as pretty much stabilized at/around the low 30’s ….
you going to BUY SDOW down here …?
YEW ….
