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QQQ SELL PATTERN and XLP/QQQ buy pattern – don’t shoot the messenger

In July, we noticed this pattern completing. Yes, we went 3 points thru but the RATIO held and popped big time today.  Watch the median line shown below on the XLP/QQQ and see if price goes thru the line then the sell off could continue. Thanks! Bart ———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————-

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should have done this one before – not sure why I didn’t …

so, the NASDAQ looks unstoppable … we have sell patterns on the DOW, the S&P, the NYSE Index but the NASDAQ is moving into new territory and it sure looks like finishing/close to finishing a 5 wave sequence.  So, why not do the XLP / NASDAQ?  Honestly, I don’t know why I haven’t done this […]

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XLP / S&P 500 – support here is justified and, perhaps, a signal of volatility to come?

there is a different look/feel to the XLP / SPX versus the XLP / NYA. If you look at the chart below, you’ll see we did a pretty tight consolidation from 2011-2016 in the XLP / SPX.  It’s a ‘perfect’ sell pattern at “C” that complete and then the ratio fell out of the sky. […]

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Technology vs Staples (XLK / XLP) Ratio Analysis

I like Ratio Analysis … I also like to work w/ the patterns on these charts. If you have been reading my blog for a while, you know that I ‘try’ (the operative word) to not read, watch or listen to any ‘other’ financial news commentary. Yes, there are people that I follow and am […]

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back at it … just got back from a week long Stand Up Surf Camp … where are we now?

amazing week in Punta Mita Mexico … after my daughter got married my wife ‘allowed’ me to take some R&R.  Worked hard for a week on my SUP skills w/ these guys: https://supnsurfretreat.com/ if you have any interest in Stand Up Paddle Surfing do this … shout out to Chris Sfor ALWAYS being patient w/ me.  […]

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RATIO ANALYSIS of XLP/NYSE Index – ain’t bearish folks, yet (UPDATE June 3, 2018)

06/03/2018 – quick update to the XLP/NYA ratio.  Still waiting for a BULLISH SRC to signal a ‘institutional shift’ to risk off assets in the form of staples and this ratio finding support (XLP / NYA) and starting to rise. While we did get a BULLISH MONTHLY HAMMER CANDLE in May we still have lower […]

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the last time this happened the market corrected 26 percent …

11/9/2017 – as you can see below and on other post we have been hawking the ratio analysis of XLP / NYSE Index. Won’t go into the why here as that has been done a number of times. some key points to consider: we have completed the EXACT measured move correction and biggest since the […]

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XLP / NYA ratio analysis update

10/26/2017 – as you know, we were looking for support to hold on a .382 retracement of the XLP/NYA ratio. this support would cause a bounce or a move higher in the ratio and therefore bring volatility into the market.  NOT EVEN CLOSE … that level has been pierced and now lower targets are shown. […]

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XLP / $NYA … approaching .382 from all time low

if the XLP/NYA ratio finds support and appears to end an A-B-C correction THEN we ‘should’ see Volatility Spike and correspondingly a nice correction in equities. If this level fails, then we might see some consolidation or a little pullback but nothing that could spook the masses. it might be noted that … right now […]

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