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if you want to know what’s going to happen, read this post.

update as of 9/26/2015 – so far we have not taken out the high of the pattern on the XLP/S&P ratio.  if we close above the level indicated on a weekly basis, then become very defensive in the coming days/weeks.     so many people are talking about the FED … who cares, really.  I […]

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if you want to know what’s going to happen, read this post.

so many people are talking about the FED … who cares, really.  I have no idea how they set rates, no idea of PPI and CPI and no idea about any of the fundamentals.  nope .. I just know patterns and when combined w/ ratio analysis I don’t need anything else. this is an update […]

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WMT set up …slow down and digest the logic… this is important, I think

BUY WMT (?) note – measured move ( in price and time), polarity and an extension target …. needs to stop here and start back up, IMHO. we are also sitting on a former resistance zone of 15 years folks .. if break down from here – we’ll call that a “what’s the fighter thinking” […]

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Ratio Analysis …powerful tool

if you want, search the site for ratio analysis .. it works and the key is it really gives you a feeling for how the big boys are moving the money around … this move isn’t about “Mom and Pops” folks, it’s about institutional money flow … we’ve done this before but here it is […]

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PATTERN repeat, watch for them at tops and bottoms

I’ve blogged a bunch about the power of using technical analysis and ratio analysis.  you don’t have to read a 500 page diatribe about the fundamentals (which are important) but you plot A/B and see if it’s going UP or DOWN. UP A is outperforming .. DOWN and A is underperforming. DONE. so as everyone […]

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Bill and Ted’s Excellent Adventure Meets the Matrix in two charts …

folks, work w/ me … ratio analysis: A/B ….if A stronger (relative strength) then chart goes up. if B stronger (relative strength) then ratio goes down. $NYA – New York Stock Exchange Index – largest  barometer of stock market health XLP – institutional rotation occurs into staples in a “risk off” world .. people need […]

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revisiting the XLP/SPX ratio … AGAIN in June 2015

time for another update … take note, HIGHER LOWS in the ratio and it bounced off the .786 retracement w/ a nice MONTHLY hammer.  It sure appears this ratio is about to go up, which should put pressure on the stock market to move higher. this has taken a LONG time to itself out …. […]

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revisiting the XLP/SPX ratio … AGAIN

folks, bringing this up, again, because this divergence is MONSTROUS. in order to show the divergence and how something is “not quite right in toon town” I’ve actually inverted the ratio to show the S&P 500 on top this time.  t the only reason is it shows the amazing divergence present .. when you look […]

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a “relative strength ratio” revisted …about to fall off a cliff?

CLIFF NOTES: the XLP/$NYA ratio, when it inflects UP or DOWN, has been responsible for every major pivot in the US Equity Structure over the past 14 years.  It is sitting on a cliff of support, which if lost, will signify a move OUT OF “risk adverse” asset class of staples and I would expect […]

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