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XLP / S&P 500 – support here is justified and, perhaps, a signal of volatility to come? UPDATED 11/04/2018

11/04/2018 – back on June 09, 2018 we saw this – almost – perfect pattern hit support.  it’s the ratio of XLP / S&P 500 – we use ratio analysis to look for ‘risk on’ or ‘risk off’ mindset from the big dudes. in times of ‘risk on’ the ratio will go down as the […]

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back at it … just got back from a week long Stand Up Surf Camp … where are we now?

amazing week in Punta Mita Mexico … after my daughter got married my wife ‘allowed’ me to take some R&R.  Worked hard for a week on my SUP skills w/ these guys: https://supnsurfretreat.com/ if you have any interest in Stand Up Paddle Surfing do this … shout out to Chris Sfor ALWAYS being patient w/ me.  […]

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S&P 500 logical stopping point …

03/31/2018 – I love measured moves.  Frankly I think they are 1/ the easiest and most powerful indicators we have as technicians and 2/ one of the least used. If you remember it’s how what we used to make an amazing buy on crude as it was plunging into it’s lows … measured moves on […]

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Blackstone Group .. they always show their cards at the ‘perfect’ time …

I remember sending a client either a text or an email … don’t remember which medium but the content was basically “man, that’s going to stink IPO’ing right at a top for Blackstone….” Just today I read that are leading the biggest buyout since the 2007-2009 financial crisis … are they a reliable contrarian indicator?  […]

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1×1 exceeded since inception … kaboom

12/10/2016 – ‘so just hang on to go up or down …’ – looks like it wanted to go up. note the explosive move behind the first time – ever – of going above the 1×1 since inception.  a monthly close above this line is very explosive.  BUT, I DO BELIEVE WE ARE CARVING OUT […]

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Update on the ‘birth’ of the S&P500 and Friday’s close

11/20/2016 – again, “she’s getting ready to blow” but who knows what direction, right?  Just pointing out that we did ‘another’ square out on Friday. This one, as they usually are, was perfect. Math is below on the chart. I plan on just going w/ a Signal Reversal Candle – if going short the LOW […]

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How to create the “real” trend lines UPDATED

11/12/2016 – wanted to provide an update.  the ‘square out number’ isn’t static.  in fact, it changes every day. in this case, as we continue vortexing thru space we see that we are now, essentially, 2180 days since the ‘birth’ of the S&P 500.  Of note, the post election crazy rally was stopped dead in […]

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How to create the “real” trend lines UPDATED

10/7/16 – just wanted to check in before the weekend.  below is a chart that “visually” depicts the SQUARE OUT where PRICE EQUALS TIME and the TREND LINE you can create.  In this case you can see the 1×1 is currently the REASON for the resistance on the S&P and then we simply did a […]

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It’s just a PATTERN and nothing else but it’s something to pay attention to

08/27/2016  – looks like we are still “squaring out” the date of the inception of the S&P500 w/ this past weeks weekly close. again, this is not “bearish” or “bullish” but a heads up that at “square outs” stuff happens … go w/ the flow. rock on, ok? PATTERNS … work and they fail. PATTERNS […]

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It’s just a PATTERN and nothing else but it’s something to pay attention to

PATTERNS … work and they fail. PATTERNS tell us of possible inflection points. PATTERNS also tell us very important areas of interest to trade around .. What if .. what if the PATTERN on the cash S&P has finished or is very close to finishing a sell signal? That would mean we are at major […]

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