Where are we …

Patterns appearing all over the place …the only ones that count are the BANKS/FINANCIALS. They will lead us up and lead us down … bank on it … (get that?)

Let’s make this simple.

I’m watching a few things:

  • Banks/Financials – they always lead us UP and they always lead us DOWN. They are approaching major targets. BUT WAIT – the European Financials just BLEW THREW 2 projections and a retracement level. (see below) – are they going to vacuum the banks/financials in the US w/ them … if they do, we ain’t going down folks. HOWEVER, if the banks/financials start down, then you might think of getting VERY conservative. We’ll find out in a few days or so, I suspect.
  • XLP/NYA – held for now. That’s ‘bearish’ for stocks but if we lose that 13 year support line then these stocks could take off higher. DO NOT BE LONG THE STOCKS WHEN THE PATTERN COMPLETES LOWER ..for now, see what this important ratio does.
  • I’m also watching the strength in Junk Bonds – junk bonds go up – it’s game on folks and they have yet to break down.
  • At the end of this post, take note of the Japanese Yen … sure looks like it wants to get stronger and remember the last time THAT happened?

Last – might want to go load up on some coffee. Coffee futures are rolling thru a long term projection.

Bring on the Charts!

forgot to label, the chart below is Copper Futures

GOOGL – October 10, 2024

GOOGL target – from a longer term perspective

Been a while since I took a peak at GOOGL.

Trust this helps Scott – is it too long of a timeframe for you?

GOOGL DOODLE – February 02, 2023

Congratulations to the Kansas City Chiefs. Man, what a game …well done NFL to a very entertaining and competitive event. Oh there was definitely the undertones that one would expect but, dare I say, they almost promoted THE diverse and amazing country of melting pots we are …? Maybe ?

Last, the commercials confused me a bunch. Hat tip to Breaking Bad but a lot of em’ I was left saying ” what are they trying to convey here?”

Of late, I have read and digested multiple books, episodes, podcasts, etc. of Mr. Robert Edward Grant. Folks, I encourage you to follow him and really try to understand the message he is speaking. Seriously ….

As such, I’ve taken up sketching (which I love) and squaring the circle and then adding the platonic solids and then realizing the a^2+b^2 = c^2 holds such vast and universal truths around the creation and manifestation of the universe that … I decided to just pull out the crayons and “prove” to myself the amazing harmony and geometry that exists in the markets and if WE (me included, trust me) are just PATIENT enough it will reveal itself and we will have the opportunity to manage risk and, potentially, extract money from the markets.

So, I typed in GOOGL and just started to draw … (mind you, I had never done this before, the charts are “real time” as I captured them at my leisure.

As I type this, now that its done, I can tell you that the harmony and geometry are amazing … and to think, we were taught this back in grade school.

How to draw an arc from three points ……

often times, 4.236 times the initial impulse move will prove to be R .. this time it worked and 2×4.236. WOW.
pick three points – mine are the blue highlighted squares at/around the bottom left
using basic geometry, create circles equal to the distance of each square. connect the lines ….
at 1/2 the intersection price (290) draw an arc equal to the distance from 1/2 gravity to price low
the “first” square
from the first square, create “fractals” of the gravity center square and continue …

Take note, anyone see the likeness of an “Adams Pitchfork?” The above is the REASON the Adams Pitchfork is such a powerful tool. It essentially makes the squares and the diagonals for you aligned with the first impulse move up or down …

Anyway, how does this help us trading? For me, it just reinforces the geometric and harmonic nature of any liquid instrument. Yes, I know that this is all “after the fact.” If you have been following me for a while you know most, if not all the time, I post “real time” or as “near as real time” as possible. Tonight, it was just an exercise to show me (and perhaps some of you) the geometrical and harmony of the market … that’s all.

GOOGL just finished a pretty smashing GART SELL and it’s been straight down SO .. I’m not looking to BUY anytime soon for GOOGL.

Last, sorry I missed that GART SELL. Just haven’t been watching “the Google” very much … no reason. Just haven’t …

GOOGL – SELL PATTERN

SELL PATTERN completing a little higher and its behavior will give us a good idea of the overall market …

folks, it’s all that it is ….it’s the famed Gartely 222 Pattern which has the following:

AB=CD – yes we have that

.618 or .786 retracement – yes we have that

an 1.27 or 1.618 extension pattern – yes we have that

so, folks, it’s “just” a sell PATTERN on an important stock and IF (the big IF) it works THEN the market will probably follow. right? kinda?

OR the PATTERN fails (which does happen) and IF (the big IF) it fails THEN the market will probably follow. right? kinda?

therefore – sell PATTERN works GOOGL should go down and the market will go down.

else – sell PATTERN fails and GOOGL should GAP (more than likely) over the pattern (happens all the time) and the general market will follow …

GOOGL – SELL PATTERN and that’s all it is …