“With You …”
Posted on October 23, 2016 3 Comments
“how is paddleboarding?”
this entire trading journey has been one amazing adventure … it’s taught me so much about natural law, myself, my weakness, drawdowns, keeping investors, losing investors, making money, losing money, pitching in NYC, pitching in Texas, the River X Group, the GTA Group, the 3 BILLION DOLLAR LUNCH (yes, ask me about it) … man, what a ride.
but, as I was putting together a presentation for some people that I’ll do on a webinar, it came to me that – in fact – this is NATURAL LAW and everything is VIBRATION. PERIOD …it’s simply amazing this journey called LIFE.
here’s where it all began for me … yes, an unfinished basement in Northern VA where I had my buddy Hose help me hang some drywall and some frames. it was a very dark corner of the house and I would go in there, put Pink Floyd on and just “figure it out.” My kids would write on the walls and have all kinds of fun w/ it .. didn’t even know they were behind me as I was so immersed in what? Immersed in understanding the meaning of life …there, I said it.
I learned, thru trading, two principles to being a successful “fill in the blank here” (hint: there is where you put trader)
- THERE IS ONLY LOVE
- THERE IS ONLY GOD.
NOBODY KNOWS when the journey around the sun will end physically…but in learning about vibrations, music and sacred geometry I’ve come to EXPERIENCE the other side and realize YOU will never end.
WITH YOU DUDE .. you know who you are and keep rolling and laughing and loving. OK?
I AM
Bart
MSFT Microsoft
Posted on October 20, 2016 Leave a Comment
10/20/2016 – it’s hard being a musical chartist. inherently you find yourself a contrarian (which you really aren’t) because you just see patterns and music and harmony w/ form, balance and proportion. yes, I get it, MSFT is all the rage because it got to new time highs. but who was ‘talking’ about it when it was about to complete an EXACT pattern based on music and geometry (see below) in/around 13-14 dollars. nobody …also, note, the chart below showing the BUY was “real time” in that, as my faithful readers know, I try really hard to not “should have” or “would have” or “could have” on the chart ….
so, w/ the monster gap up to new highs that opens up the 72-74 area for the next pattern.
note the strength in MSFT .. .618 from Monthly charts (projections) usually cause more resistance.
enjoy.
Bart
Here is the BUY on MSFT – some amazing harmony, form, proportion and balance. Just take one second and look at that chart … no idea what is going on w/ their fundamentals and, it was quite the “crazy” time for it to find support during the 2009 thump. But … a PATTERN is a PATTERN is a PATTERN. so, here’s the BUY on MSFT issued in March 2009.
BUY on MSFT in March 2009
so, where are we now?
we are approaching the .618 from the all time high on decreasing volume and an overall market that “should” be correcting. Time to take some off and get ready for the next wave …in my humble opinion. (note – 50-52 is still a target.)
MSFT approaching resistance zones – watch closely or take some off the table
TWTR update as of July 21, 2018
Posted on October 19, 2016 Leave a Comment
7/21/2018 – FWIW, got a new paddle and it rocks. spent time yesterday in the water paddling w/ a buddy up near Dana Point CA. most epic …
anyhoo, as you read below we have hit the lower end of the target area. take a second and think about it – roughly a month ago we came up w/ targets for the price to respect. NOTHING about fundamentals – all patterns, measured move and blah blah. TWTR went up and tagged em’ and looks heavy …
so, IF still a BULL (I’m neither a BULL or a BEAR – just a pattern dude) then the highlighted green area below SHOULD hold (think polarity principle) and TWTR SHOULD start another leg up in/around that area. If we get a weekly close below the lower area, i would start thinking of cutting it or lightning the long position.
enjoy, get out in the water …
Bart
06/09/2018 – train left the station on me for TWTR. never reached the $10 ish pattern level. Oh well, “better to be out of the market wishing you were in than in the market and wishing you were out …”
for those long this puppy we have a VERY strong target zone of 46-52.
using some polarity, would stay long into this zone as long as we don’t break down below 36-38 on a weekly closing basis.
TWTR got the Trump Bump I guess … LOL (just making a joke folks, no need for any chaotic political commentary.
Off to surf … w/ a sub par paddle. Snapped my good one last night for a sunset paddle … bummer.
Bart
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10/18/2016 -if you have read my blog, you know that I really don’t have a clue about the fundamentals or anything like that. pure patterns, all the time.
I’ve been doing work on TWTR (just search for TWTR in the search on my blog) and you can see that the 10 area was the long term target. when it got down to about 13 and took off I was like “oh well, didn’t hit the pattern, so next.”
but something happened and now we are resting on the .786 . if that breaks to the downside then it appears ready to perhaps go towards the pattern in/around 9-10.
stay tuned …
B
TWTR update
Posted on October 19, 2016 Leave a Comment
10/18/2016 -if you have read my blog, you know that I really don’t have a clue about the fundamentals or anything like that. pure patterns, all the time.
I’ve been doing work on TWTR (just search for TWTR in the search on my blog) and you can see that the 10 area was the long term target. when it got down to about 13 and took off I was like “oh well, didn’t hit the pattern, so next.”
but something happened and now we are resting on the .786 . if that breaks to the downside then it appears ready to perhaps go towards the pattern in/around 9-10.
stay tuned …
B
USD vs JPY at key juncture
Posted on October 16, 2016 Leave a Comment
here’s the chart shared w/ a couple buddies last week .. apologize for not posting, was at Stocktoberfest:
as you can see from the chart below, we are getting right up into this area … it’s going to be a big deal for the USD vs JPY and a level to pay attention to ….
$PCLN update 10/9/2016
Posted on October 9, 2016 Leave a Comment
10/9/2016
PCLN found support on the “polarity” from the IPO and, essentially, negated the mirror image foldback pattern discussed below. What now?
If you take a look at the long term chart, again, you’ll see some powerful sell patterns all coming together. as for right now, appears we are in no mans land w/ no pattern (buy or sell) present.
here’s the patterns present:
- 1.1618 extension from the IPO high
- note the black arrow going up from the post IPO low to the IPO high. That same “move” is present into the target area. the black arrow is “copy” and “pasted” from the IPO to current market prices.
- 3 drive to a top – the blue triangles
- 1,2,3,4,5 reverse point wave
- a “perfect” Butterfly Sell pattern – (it has an AB=CD present in the last leg of the Butterfly)
who knows if it will get that high right now .. but certainly realize that 1600-1625 has a TON of resistance.
B
02/01/2016
as you can see below, the light blue trend line below was taken out. now we are approaching major support as shown by the polarity principle. some bid thrust/candles going into this level so this will be a key test in the coming days/weeks. if we lose this level, then expect 1.27 level to be attacked in the high 800’s.
12/20/2015: update to PCLN.
one can see that this has been an amazing rocket ship.
one can also see below that I was “seeing” a top coming in and tried the mirror image foldback, which from a price perspective DID NOT work. then, you can see that I was “seeing” a butterfly pattern and that missed the target area by a few bucks.
so, in summary, let’s watch the key low to high trend line shown in the chart below. also note the TIME symmetry around the foldback points. I missed that below, but that actually lends some credence to a potential big top.
this one has been tough .. but, then again, when you go from 3 dollars to 1450+ it’s going to take some time to digest.
anyway, for those who asked me, hope this helps w/ the gameplan for $PCLN.
Folks, this mirror image got smoked. Much like the mirror image for Natural Gas … the mirror images fail at the inflection points and $PCLN has rolled thru the pattern. ERASE … ERASE…ERASE.
Where are we now?
Well, if we look at the candles you’ll see the 2nd largest monthly candle since the IPO occurred last month (OCT) So, we have 1484 coming in but it sure looks like momentum and thrust will carry it to the 1600 level. I’m going to spend some time on this one over the next couple days …
here’s the MONTHLY picture …
IF the mirror image foldback is in play THEN this pattern needs to hold and start down. a move below 1360 would bolster conviction that the mirror image mentioned earlier is in play.
How to create the “real” trend lines UPDATED
Posted on October 7, 2016 Leave a Comment
10/7/16 – just wanted to check in before the weekend. below is a chart that “visually” depicts the SQUARE OUT where PRICE EQUALS TIME and the TREND LINE you can create. In this case you can see the 1×1 is currently the REASON for the resistance on the S&P and then we simply did a 1/2 point/day and, why were were at it, a .382 point/day. HINT – why not try “musical notes” *days since inception or all time low. I bet, if we use, say .9438*days we’ll get close to the 2000 high and, while were are it, 1.05946*days we’ll be resistance on the cash S&P. It’s early on the West Coast … I don’t feel like doing it. Try it yourself.
also, we are using a CONSTANT 1 point/day “velocity” (in this case we use PRICE and TIME to create the vector math) and what else moves in a CONSTANT ? (hint – look up in the sky) YES, you got it … so, while your at it, use a planet and move them a certain amount of degrees in a certain amount of time. How about 100 degrees/100 days – 1 to 1 and see what happens.
Have a GREAT weekend.
B
08/27/2016 – looks like we are still “squaring out” the date of the inception of the S&P500 w/ this past weeks weekly close.
again, this is not “bearish” or “bullish” but a heads up that at “square outs” stuff happens … go w/ the flow.
rock on, ok?
PATTERNS … work and they fail.
PATTERNS tell us of possible inflection points.
PATTERNS also tell us very important areas of interest to trade around ..
What if .. what if the PATTERN on the cash S&P has finished or is very close to finishing a sell signal?
That would mean we are at major resistance and the market “should” respect a PATTERN that has its genesis from it’s all time low 50 years ago….
IF the market DOES NOT respect this area and goes higher then we are really really really strong and I wold look to go LONG after a monthly or weekly close above these levels.
so, don’t shoot me- I got tons of crap this weekend for posting about the Utilities Pattern hitting (seems to be working so far) and I’m just mentioning that a “classic” AB=CD PATTERN is pretty much done on the S&P.
Pay Attention ….
Bart
PS – tons of cycles are hitting this week so just go w/ the flow and catch the wave that should begin soon. No idea which way it goes, it’s just a pattern. TRADE IT or NOT.
PS — also, the you’ll note the SK&P was BORN on March 4, 1957 or 21708 days ago. 21708/10 = 2170.8. Were only 10 points away from that price … if we close below 2171,2172,2173 etc. in the coming days the market has SQUARED OUT PRICE and TIME. “Stuff” usually happens around those occurrences. An FYI …
Bart's Charts 