How to create the “real” trend lines UPDATED

11/12/2016 – wanted to provide an update.  the ‘square out number’ isn’t static.  in fact, it changes every day. in this case, as we continue vortexing thru space we see that we are now, essentially, 2180 days since the ‘birth’ of the S&P 500.  Of note, the post election crazy rally was stopped dead in it’s tracks by 2180.  that’s the ‘key’ number right now … the market ‘wants’ to balance itself (remember: form, proportion, balance) so it’s no real surprise that the market went right up to that NUMBER.

so, what happens next? I honestly have no idea … but i do know that the market will move from these levels, usually, w/ a vengeance so just hang on to go up or down … a “weekly” close above one of the numbers tied to the square out would be bullish.  a big break down below some former support would be bearish.

for now, as we bounce around these harmonic numbers of price/time – just chill and let it make up its mind.

hope this helps.

Bart

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10/7/16 – just wanted to check in before the weekend.  below is a chart that “visually” depicts the SQUARE OUT where PRICE EQUALS TIME and the TREND LINE you can create.  In this case you can see the 1×1 is currently the REASON for the resistance on the S&P and then we simply did a 1/2 point/day and, why were were at it, a .382 point/day.  HINT – why not try “musical notes” *days since inception or all time low.  I bet, if we use, say .9438*days we’ll get close to the 2000 high and, while were are it, 1.05946*days we’ll be resistance on the cash S&P.  It’s early on the West Coast … I don’t feel like doing it. Try it yourself.

also, we are using a CONSTANT 1 point/day “velocity” (in this case we use PRICE and TIME to create the vector math) and what else moves in a CONSTANT ? (hint – look up in the sky) YES, you got it … so, while your at it, use a planet and move them a certain amount of degrees in a certain amount of time. How about 100 degrees/100 days – 1 to 1 and see what happens.

Have a GREAT weekend.

B

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08/27/2016  – looks like we are still “squaring out” the date of the inception of the S&P500 w/ this past weeks weekly close.

again, this is not “bearish” or “bullish” but a heads up that at “square outs” stuff happens … go w/ the flow.

rock on, ok?

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PATTERNS … work and they fail.

PATTERNS tell us of possible inflection points.

PATTERNS also tell us very important areas of interest to trade around ..

What if .. what if the PATTERN on the cash S&P has finished or is very close to finishing a sell signal?

That would mean we are at major resistance and the market “should” respect a PATTERN that has its genesis from it’s all time low 50 years ago….

IF the market DOES NOT respect this area and goes higher then we are really really really strong and I wold look to go LONG after a monthly or weekly close above these levels.

so, don’t shoot me- I got tons of crap this weekend for posting about the Utilities Pattern hitting (seems to be working so far) and I’m just mentioning that a “classic” AB=CD PATTERN is pretty much done on the S&P.

Pay Attention ….

Bart

PS – tons of cycles are hitting this week so just go w/ the flow and catch the wave that should begin soon.  No idea which way it goes, it’s just a pattern.  TRADE IT or NOT.

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PS — also, the you’ll note the SK&P was BORN on March 4, 1957 or 21708 days ago.  21708/10 = 2170.8.  Were only 10 points away from that price … if we close below 2171,2172,2173 etc. in the coming days the market has SQUARED OUT PRICE and TIME.  “Stuff” usually happens around those occurrences.  An FYI …

Banking Index FAILED PATTERN

I’ve tried to be pretty consistent ..sometimes they work and sometimes they don’t. When the SELL pattern on the banking index appeared it was, in fact, a beauty.

however, after today’s close  would consider it a FAILED PATTERN.

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man … I don’t know

I have no idea what’s going on in the election … I can surmise by the markets that perhaps Trump has a lead? Really don’t know … but what I can say is this little pattern on the CHFJPY hit this afternoon to the pip and well … see below.

just take one second … and think about it.  THIS PATTERN WAS BEFORE ANY ELECTION …of course, everyone trading the CHFJPY spot cross knew this …

um, not.

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YEN – update

sure looks like a big ole triangle is forming and ‘not’ the truncated 5th.  no clear pattern present but we’ll have to watch and see over the coming days and weeks.

NOT as clear cut as I thought …

B

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Loonie, OSX, Crude – time for another inflection? UPDATE to the UPDATE

11/5/2016 – Crude Continuous is giving us a nice “heads up” that this move is CORRECTIVE in the scheme of a much larger corrective pattern to finish a big big 4.  the market corrects (most of the time) in 3 waves labeled A-B-C …in this case let’s follow the set up:

  • $26 dollars was the END of 3 of 5
  • $51 was the top of A
  • the 51.92 slight new high (NOTE WAS IN 3 WAVES) was a ‘minor’ b wave and this move lower is ‘c’ to finish the a-b-c sequence of B.
  • the ‘usual’ relationship is 1.618*a = c and note all of the ratio’s come together in/around 31.30-31.60.  THAT’s a GREAT BUY for crude.
    • Else – we could just be arcing out a FLAT and 38 holds it and if we have 5 waves down into 35.70-35.90 that could be it.
  • either way … we are moving into a very nice BUY of crude.

Until we hit that bottom .. the LOONIE will probably not strengthen and churn/burn in around these levels or a little higher. be patient, the move is coming.

here’s the ideal pattern we are watching:

wave18

here’s crude:

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here’s Loonie vs EURO and USD:

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10/24/2016 – target hit on the USD vs LOONIE.  Watch this one carefully.  It “appears” that everyone is thinking of a big breakout but, as you can see, we had multiple targets coming into play and they were hit today.

WATCH FOR A DAILY CLOSE BACK BENEATH CHANNEL OR THE .382 as shown.

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go ahead and follow this link if you want to follow some real time PATTERNS w/ technical analysis and the correlation between the 3 items in the subject line: https://bartscharts.com//?s=LOONIE

appears we are at another critical juncture:

  • Crude – 2 buy patterns present.
  • OSX – buy level indicated
  • USD vs LOONIE – multiple patterns present for another move in LOONIE strength.

again, these are just patterns folks … but we have a very clearly defined demarcation line for the next move to begin.

stay tuned

Bart

charts below, let me know if you have any questions.

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the FANG GANG- where are we now

11/5/2016 – I really enjoying blogging for Andy @seeitmarket.  he’s such a great dude, great family and he’s created one of the best resources for quality and professional research.  Over the past year or so (yes, year or so) he’s given me the opportunity to blog/write for his site.  Every once in a while I’ll text him and say “what do you want” and he’ll give me some ideas.  Over a year ago he told me to start watching the FANG gang. So, I did …

F- Facebook

A – Amazon, Apple (you pick)

N- Netflix

G- Google

over the past couple months, these stocks have been responsible for 25% of the NASDAQ’s gain.  That’s a heck of a lot of exposure ….but, in the end, the geometry told the story.  here’s the story …

Facebook: http://www.seeitmarket.com/facebook-stock-update-fb-big-moving-coming-soon-16078/

Amazon – http://www.seeitmarket.com/shares-amazon-amzn-nearing-top-trading-15950/

Apple – http://www.seeitmarket.com/aapl-stock-update-heres-bullish-aapl-buy-setup-15618/

Netflix – http://www.seeitmarket.com/netflix-reverses-could-icahns-move-mark-nflx-stock-top-14506/ (note, this one went to a 1.27 x AB-CD pattern)

Google – http://www.seeitmarket.com/alphabet-stock-googl-critical-time-price-juncture-investing-16218/

what the articles show is these stocks are hitting / have hit MAJOR targets and, well, believe it or not could be in for some very very turbulent times in the coming weeks/months.

Stay tuned, but if history is any guide, one would expect some clear leadership from these names but they have hit major patterns and square outs SO … not sure what the fundamentals are telling us but based on this past weeks action they appear to respecting the geometry/vibration/patterns present based, simply, on numbers and math and music and blah blah blah.

stay tuned and let me know if you have any questions.

Navy over Notre Dame – woot woot.

Bart

Banking Index- they don’t get any better than this … PATTERNS at their finest. (sorry, changed the title)

Wow, doing some chart surfing before I try to Stand Up Paddleboard after my son’s basketball game (TRY is the operative word) and simply jamming to “I am the Highway” by Soundgarden … isn’t Chris Cornell’s voice simply fantastic.  I find when I get in “state” I see things and, well, its simply enjoyable.

Not sure why, but after I saw the 3 ratio’s coming together on GS I said “self, wonder what the banking index is doing.”  And, not kidding, is was a simple as that …

BOOM there she was .. the anatomy of a PERFECT sell PATTERN.  Folks, when you have an AB=CD, a 1.27 extension hit on a .786 retracement – it’s ‘usually’ market magic.

BANKS SHOULD BE SOLD and they SHOULD ONLY BE SOLD BECAUSE WE KNOW THAT WE ARE WRONG PRECISELY IN/AROUND 76.  Perhaps give it the old high around 80.  Your call – it’s all RISK CONTROL BUT these types of patterns only come along like this every so often.

I’m going to spend some time showing how the pattern unfolds and the ratio’s playing ….

It’s a simple as PROJECT, EXTEND, RETRACE.

I am not your autumn moon, I am the night …. rock on, ok?

Bart

SOAPBOX: as you study this chart (study and do it for yourself) realize that this is a banking index.  and, I submit, the entire world isn’t buying/selling at these ratio’s a some preconceived point

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Goldman Sachs flirting w/ a top-top cycle and the dreaded neckline

10/29/2016 – so, per below the neckline broke and if you do some work, you’ll see the technical principle of using the head to the neckline as the ‘basic’ projection technique yielded support …

now, were back to the intersection of 3 ratios now or a little higher .. if you notice, the square root target is a little higher in the 3 ratios so were at or near a very important point for GS in the future.

AGAIN, remember, it’s all probability, right?  So, if Goldman is able to make it thru (on a daily or weekly close) thru two sets of 3 ratio’s it’s strong folks …

to the charts .. hitting the surf today, a gorgeous day in San Diego.

rock on, ok?

B

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w/ the breaking of the red trend line from 2009 and the neckline at 170 believe GS will be in trouble w/ this occurring.

it very well could go higher and attack my upper target, but just not sure if it’s going to get there … we’ll see.

keep any eye on this one .. first confirmation is a break (daily/weekly close below) of the red trend line and then the neckline around 170.  that should put tremendous pressure on the GS bulls, so to speak.

also, note the high-high cycle that is working since the IPO.  this “balances” the chart very nicely.  my thesis, for now is we are moving back down RIGHT TO LEFT off that first high from the early 2000’s and a PERCENTAGE CORRECTION of that magnitude is a minimal first target if/when we break trendlines mentioned above.

just an FYI .. that “percentage correction” is roughly 122 to 58 or 50% ….so the low 100’s isn’t out of the question.

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