GOLD – time to buy for next leg up?
Posted on December 22, 2016 Leave a Comment
12/22/2016 – w/ near record pessimism for Gold it appears that another leg up (to complete a multi-month long correction from 1046) is about to begin.
levels below have a LOT of math …
- 1.618 price projection (dashed blue line)
- 2.236 (square root of 5) extension
- .786 retracement
- square root target using a 3.618 Fibo square of 9 projection
- fundamental frequency target (think of the rock hitting the water and making waves)
wrong below the last low of 1046.
Bart
the finishing of the Octave .. just a little higher
Posted on December 17, 2016 Leave a Comment
12/16/2016 – just updating this chart to show some potential targets I’ve been watching on the Dow Jones. I don’t know how high it’s going folks but I feel very confident that 2009-now is a BIG 5. Like a big 5 since the 1800’s five …
if you are REALLY into this stuff like I am … take some time to read the blog below. here’s the targets for now and as always let me know if you have any questions.
basically, over the coming months is another 10 percent move that out of the question?
shown is the ‘basic’ AB=CD from the all time low in the late 1800’s up into the 2007-2008 top and then projecting … AB=CD, then some octave stuff and geometry stuff. Hang on … it’s going to be a wild ride.
I want to see if the music is math and what happens when we complete the OCTAVE …
Bart
What a great day yesterday … was working thru what my wife calls the “man flu,” it was pouring rain and nothing but great college football and logs. I know, that was geeky but during half-time of the Navy vs AF game I just sat down in front of my computer and said “self, let’s see if music is really involved in the market.” I think it is …
- I have never done this before, what you see is the result of starting from the all time low of 28.48 on 08/08/1896 some 43,250 calendar days ago as of this posting and simply “did the math.”
- Background:
- the frequency of a string is:
- inversely proportional to the square root of its length and
- directly proportional to square root of it’s tension
- here is a chart of the notes and the ratio’s and their inverses
- the frequency of a string is:
- Here is the math:
- 28.48 LN = 3.3492
- 3.34492 + ratio of equal octave scale = XXX
- anti-log of XXX = YYY
- plot YYY on long term monthly of DJIA
- For example:
- NOTE E: ratio 1.259921 and the inverse 1/1.259921 = .7937005
- 3.3492+.7937005 = 4.1429005
- 4.1386205 anti-log = 13896
- interesting to note how close that was to the top in 2007
- some 20 years prior the same “E” was wreaking havoc – here’s the math
- 3.3492+.07937005 (note the number stays the same – JUST SHIFT THE DECIMAL POINT) = 3.42857005
- anti-log of 3.42857005 =2683
is it any coincidence that the musical note E was found in 1987 and 2007 from the all time low in 1896?
So what does this mean? Well, take a look at the chart … in 1997 the market came up and started another octave and has been banging in/around C-E for the past 20+ years. Note, the market did not CLOSE below the start of the octave “C” in 2009 … if I was in charge (and trust me I’m not) I sure think this market naturally wants to finish it’s symphony, so to speak, so is 22K out of the question? Who knows but I’m certainly going to be aware of these long term targets from 1896 as a guide.
Here’s a look on the way down …
Happy Hunting and study up …
Bart
update on TLT and Bonds over @seeitmarket
Posted on December 12, 2016 2 Comments
sent to this to Andy and the gang over the weekend …let me know if you have any questions.
Bart
1×1 exceeded since inception … kaboom
Posted on December 10, 2016 Leave a Comment
12/10/2016 – ‘so just hang on to go up or down …’ – looks like it wanted to go up. note the explosive move behind the first time – ever – of going above the 1×1 since inception. a monthly close above this line is very explosive. BUT, I DO BELIEVE WE ARE CARVING OUT THE LARGEST TOP – EVER – in the Equity Market. Ride this pony while you can …
11/12/2016 – wanted to provide an update. the ‘square out number’ isn’t static. in fact, it changes every day. in this case, as we continue vortexing thru space we see that we are now, essentially, 2180 days since the ‘birth’ of the S&P 500. Of note, the post election crazy rally was stopped dead in it’s tracks by 2180. that’s the ‘key’ number right now … the market ‘wants’ to balance itself (remember: form, proportion, balance) so it’s no real surprise that the market went right up to that NUMBER.
so, what happens next? I honestly have no idea … but i do know that the market will move from these levels, usually, w/ a vengeance so just hang on to go up or down … a “weekly” close above one of the numbers tied to the square out would be bullish. a big break down below some former support would be bearish.
for now, as we bounce around these harmonic numbers of price/time – just chill and let it make up its mind.
hope this helps.
Bart
10/7/16 – just wanted to check in before the weekend. below is a chart that “visually” depicts the SQUARE OUT where PRICE EQUALS TIME and the TREND LINE you can create. In this case you can see the 1×1 is currently the REASON for the resistance on the S&P and then we simply did a 1/2 point/day and, why were were at it, a .382 point/day. HINT – why not try “musical notes” *days since inception or all time low. I bet, if we use, say .9438*days we’ll get close to the 2000 high and, while were are it, 1.05946*days we’ll be resistance on the cash S&P. It’s early on the West Coast … I don’t feel like doing it. Try it yourself.
also, we are using a CONSTANT 1 point/day “velocity” (in this case we use PRICE and TIME to create the vector math) and what else moves in a CONSTANT ? (hint – look up in the sky) YES, you got it … so, while your at it, use a planet and move them a certain amount of degrees in a certain amount of time. How about 100 degrees/100 days – 1 to 1 and see what happens.
Have a GREAT weekend.
B
08/27/2016 – looks like we are still “squaring out” the date of the inception of the S&P500 w/ this past weeks weekly close.
again, this is not “bearish” or “bullish” but a heads up that at “square outs” stuff happens … go w/ the flow.
rock on, ok?
PATTERNS … work and they fail.
PATTERNS tell us of possible inflection points.
PATTERNS also tell us very important areas of interest to trade around ..
What if .. what if the PATTERN on the cash S&P has finished or is very close to finishing a sell signal?
That would mean we are at major resistance and the market “should” respect a PATTERN that has its genesis from it’s all time low 50 years ago….
IF the market DOES NOT respect this area and goes higher then we are really really really strong and I wold look to go LONG after a monthly or weekly close above these levels.
so, don’t shoot me- I got tons of crap this weekend for posting about the Utilities Pattern hitting (seems to be working so far) and I’m just mentioning that a “classic” AB=CD PATTERN is pretty much done on the S&P.
Pay Attention ….
Bart
PS – tons of cycles are hitting this week so just go w/ the flow and catch the wave that should begin soon. No idea which way it goes, it’s just a pattern. TRADE IT or NOT.
PS — also, the you’ll note the SK&P was BORN on March 4, 1957 or 21708 days ago. 21708/10 = 2170.8. Were only 10 points away from that price … if we close below 2171,2172,2173 etc. in the coming days the market has SQUARED OUT PRICE and TIME. “Stuff” usually happens around those occurrences. An FYI …
DPZ .. updated
Posted on December 9, 2016 Leave a Comment
12/9/2016 – area shown in the original post was exceeded by a percentage point or two but we should be a stiff resistance w/ DPZ. Note, the long term trend line from 2009. a weekly close below this would signal the trend is weakening or done.
heads up the party’s going into the late night … might want to call Uber
Posted on December 7, 2016 Leave a Comment
12/17/ 2016 – it’s been since June that I’ve posted about the ratio. for more information see below …bottom line is when the party is raging the “big dudes” bail out of conservative plays (consumer staples) and roll into tech and other more ‘risky’ assets. If you look at the below – purely from technical terms, we are doing nothing more than returning to the break out resistance (now support – polarity) that held for 13 years. additionally, the rsi is at the ‘usual’ level where it has held as support – every single time since the inception of the XLF ETF. So, yes the party is raging, but it might be time to move to water or soda or download the uber ride home … this hangover is going to hurt.
here’s the power of this ratio:
- https://bartscharts.com/2016/05/08/xlp-nya-update/
- ratio BOTTOMS, at the BUY pattern of the ratio – SELL equities
- https://bartscharts.com/2016/03/30/xlp-nya-update-pay-attention/
- when the ratio TOPS then BUY equities
- we have a wonderful SELL the ratio pattern which means Equities should be bottoming for a BUY swing trade of the US equity structure.
DANGER WILL ROBINSON … if/when the patterns fail (and they do) the market breathes in the direction of the failure. Note, we have some VERY strong thrust into the pattern level and this “usually” means the pattern will fail BUT you never know do you? So now for the best part of the pattern recognition world the “if-then”.
IF the pattern works, equities should bottom for a nice BUY (swing trade – not long term for now … )
IF the pattern fails, equities will continuing selling off and we should look for the NEXT pattern to play … make sense?
Here’s the “perfect” sell pattern:
FCX
Posted on November 28, 2016 Leave a Comment
w/ the big move in copper, companies like FCX have taken off.
it’s a nice picture of a two buy patterns coming into play, a breaking of the inverse head and shoulders and now, POTENTIALLY a move back to the neckline or a little lower for a BUY.
here’s the rub … while this move in copper is IMPRESSIVE I’m not sure if it’s just a counter trend bounce. So … when copper gets up to the 3.0 level I would monitor FCX closely. let me know if you have any questions.
also, note, watch REAL rotation into this stock via AMZN/FCX ratio analysis. Believe it or not, from a relative strength basis, FCX (on a relative strength basis) has outperformed AMZN. So, if it’s really being rotated into … the pattern shown below will fail and go higher, filling the gap and taking off …
B
CME
Posted on November 27, 2016 Leave a Comment
looks like strong resistance is being hit … but that’s mighty strong candle coming into levels shown. wait for a SRC. If it breaks above 119 then new highs should probably be seen.





















