Yikes …. MAJOR SUPPORT for TLT

ton of math coming in 129-131 … for those bond proponents out there, this better hold or we could accelerate even more. figure a daily close below 128 is a failed pattern …

IWM – KEY SUPPORT

last post about IWM: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2021/02/21/iwm-is-that-it/

that’s the great thing about patterns … they work or they don’t.

WHEN they do, they tell you something.

conversely, when they DO NOT work, they tell you something.

I’ve been showing a 5 wave count in IWM for a while and, just recently, it went up and tagged our target zone. it’s one of many target zones …

the question is “is this the one?”

I don’t know … but we have an intraday BUY PATTERN and if this is a bullish corrective move then this level SHOULD hold … yes, a correction can go into the 210’s but in this case we have the classic AB=CD, 1.4142 extension and the .382 retracement all right here, right now.

IF bullish, THEN this level holds and goes higher …. we’ll see

Goldman Sachs

well, look at this ….

this a MONTHLY BUTTERFLY SELL signal on GS. Target zone is 360-376. Since it’s so large would WAIT for a signal reversal candle before entering a short …the AB=CD is at 360 (bottom range of the zone)

UNG / Nat Gas update

last post: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2020/12/03/natural-gas-and-ung/

update: rolling into a BUY zone for both futures and UNG. IF the thesis that a BIG low is in place THEN we should find support and then continue upward.

take time to look at the long term Nat Gas Continuous Contract chart … you can see the “major” trend line which is acting like resistance .. a weekly open and close above that trendline could signal game on for the bulls.

if major support breaks then we could be looking at the 7 dollar level on UNG. needs to find support in the area shown …

don’t forget this target on my favorite ratio …

note, on the monthly, looks like we will start the month closed below the key trend line from 2007. and he market accelerated upward.

that being said, we are approaching the “target zone” for a lot of math and I also want to call your attention to the monthly RSI and the support zone that its approaching …

I went back and checked .. the last two times it touched this low of a level in the past 15 years was 05/2018 which was part of a -40% ish correction and 07/2007 and we knew what happened during that time frame.

Caveat Emptor …

New Taiwan Dollar

well, the US struck Syria today.

Spratley’s are heating up and, well, they always have … made me think of China and Taiwan.

Would you check out the BUY PATTERN on the New Taiwan Dollar? Two MAJOR patterns on a monthly chart all coming in/around the same area.

PAY ATTENTION.

USD Index – close to a BIG move UP?

if you have been following my blog, you’ll remember the big measured moves that were around when the dollar was carving out THE low. they have appeared/are appearing again. w/ a wrinkle … using “basic” monthly cycle tools you can see that we have a BIG cycle coming in this month which lines up w/ the measured move target zone a little lower in the index. this could be a BIG DOLLAR MOVE higher ….

below you’ll find the chart that started the dollar bears growling and stopped the dollar bull in it’s track. the form, proportion and balance are amazing and exact. take time to study this chart

the time and price symmetry of the latest high on the USD Index

since then, the USD Index has basically been carving out what looks like a flat correction and then higher … you can read prior posts to see if this was an A-B-C correction or 1,2,3,4 (in work/finishing) and then higher in a big 5th wave. we are getting a little below the end of wave 1 which breaks a rule if your a purist but it sure looks like we are bottoming. then, the last chart is an intraday chart showing a possible mathematical derivation of wave length based on fibo relationships that could get us into the target zone … so, stand by, as this is a BIG level coming up on the USD.

notice the dashed black and blue arrows, they are exact measured moves and then note the long term cycle that is hitting this month

2 hour intraday chart showing wave relationships that could get us down into the target zone .. used equality of wave 1 and 1.618 wave 1 to project.

IWM – is that it?

adding to this last post about IWM: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2019/03/02/iwm/

I’m teaching my son about “advanced” Pattern Recognition … it’s fun and the big thing we keep hammering into each other is trade what you SEE not what you think/believe. (thanks Larry P)

well, here is IWM.

what do I see:

  1. a VALID wave count that breaks no rules. I feel comfortable in saying that we are in a 5th wave …
  2. AB=CD or Wave 3 = Wave 5 at 234.
  3. 1.732 extension (daily)
  4. fundamental frequency from the first impulse low of October 2002 – July 2007
  5. Square of 9 targets
  6. geometrical projection technique

Folks, a LOT of thrust into this level, so .. playing it safe here and WAITING for a signal reversal candle weekly close below 206.

A LOT OF MATH HAS BEEN HIT ON IWM …

it’s only probability and only a pattern … if it holds, ramifications are BIG.