Archives

revisiting the XLP/SPX ratio … AGAIN in June 2015

time for another update … take note, HIGHER LOWS in the ratio and it bounced off the .786 retracement w/ a nice MONTHLY hammer.  It sure appears this ratio is about to go up, which should put pressure on the stock market to move higher. this has taken a LONG time to itself out …. […]

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IF you do ONE thing please WATCH this video …

Larry Pesavento (www.tradingtutor.com) is not only a mentor but a true friend and guiding example of integrity, passion and truth in the financial markets. He’s 75 (acts like he’s 16) and has made his living trading the markets for 50+ years. It’s an extreme honor to call him a friend. SPOILER ALERT: over the years he called […]

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here’s how powerful the XLP/SPX ratio is …

below are a couple intraday charts of the “ratio” of XLP/SPX. note, ALL the major inflections (even intraday) are equal/opposite the overall market. so, where does that leave us?  Well, you can see a minor buy pattern (two blue triangles) but I favor lower where the .618/.786 overlap.  If/when this ratio hits that level I […]

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revisiting the XLP/SPX ratio … AGAIN

folks, bringing this up, again, because this divergence is MONSTROUS. in order to show the divergence and how something is “not quite right in toon town” I’ve actually inverted the ratio to show the S&P 500 on top this time.  t the only reason is it shows the amazing divergence present .. when you look […]

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bunch of cycles coming together …but who cares

how many institutions are there out there ….?  perhaps 30-50K?  and, if you think about it they own 10MM+ shares of the big names.  the “big names” have, on average, say 5MM shares / day traded.  so, what happens if they try to get out of a non liquid market that has been manipulated by […]

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Ratio patterns holding …

CLIFF NOTES: we’ve shown the sector rotation being shown by ratio analysis before.  we’ve also shown how every major inflection (up and down) has been due to the ratio’s bottoming or topping.  we’ve also shown how patterns have failed to hold and have confirmed the move higher in stocks the past few months …well, for […]

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Using ratio’s for relative strength comparison

If the Numerator is bigger than the Denominator then the ratio goes UP.  If vice versa, the ratio goes down.  If we put one security over another then we can plot the relative strength and note when a shift in this relative strength takes place.  This shift can show rotation. What you’ll find is the […]

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CTRL-ALT-DELETE. The S&P 500 sectors, AGAIN

CLIFF NOTES: the “chart of my lifetime” is still just that – an amazing chart of, quite frankly, my lifetime.  I think it’s safe to say that the pattern from genesis of the Dow Jones Transports has been defeated.  A pattern that took 45,000 days (+) to form and complete.  Again, please, let that sink […]

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S&P 500 still squaring out price and time

CLIFF NOTES:  the cash S&P closed at 1909.78 yesterday.  1909 days ago was 03/07/2014.  Price is equal to time …What I have also shown is, simply, how powerful this move IS … zero, notta, none, null set, etc. describes a single swing low being broken.  Note the blue lines … we have discussed them before. […]

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quick look at China

in what appears to be the largest IPO ever ALIBABA should be coming to the street …pushing the limits of 20 BB it’s something to be watched.  Not for the John Q Public but for the banks Credit Suise, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, etc. are going to make 100’s of millions on this one.  So, I […]

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