When Price Equals Time
Posted this over at Stock Market TV: https://www.stockmarkettv.com/barts-charts/2025-07-23/when-price-equals-time
Since the NYSE Composite Index launched in 1966, its trajectory has traced not only the rise and fall of markets, but the structural shifts of a world in transformation. In the decades since, we have witnessed the Vietnam War, the collapse of Bretton Woods, the oil shocks of the 1970s, the Reagan-era deregulation wave, Black Monday, the fall of the Soviet Union, the birth of the euro, 9/11, the 2008 financial crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Today, we stand amidst renewed geopolitical fragmentation, rising multipolar tensions, conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, and a visibly fractured American political landscape. These are not isolated events—they are inflection points, waves folding through time. The market, in its silent geometry, now approaches a place it has never touched before: the harmonic return of time meeting value.
Nearly 21,751 days since inception, price nears a point of equilibrium—where the passage of days equals the projected value on the chart. This convergence aligns with Fibonacci extensions, prime-based intervals, and clear momentum divergences. Conventional models may interpret this as resistance. But to those attuned to the deeper cycles that underlie pattern itself, this is more than a top—it is the first kiss of the original impulse, a potential moment of systemic remembrance.
Should the market break cleanly through this point of balance, it may signal not exhaustion but acceleration—an extension of the wave rather than its resolution. Technically, this suggests a continuation into higher harmonic projections; spiritually, it reflects a cycle not rejected but transmuted, the octave integrated rather than paused. Yet even in that extension, the imprint remains—because no spiral escapes its return.
Is the ratio going to break down – July 09, 2025
As discussed previously, I’m hawking the XLP/NYA ratio. Noticed, yesterday, that even w/ the market flat/slightly down the ratio was trending lower. Sure looks like it wants to break support and go down to the pattern completion level at the .786. That’s bullish …
However, take note of the time cycles … it’s forecasting a ‘low’ in the ratio now – August.
To show the importance of this ratio, I put the NYSE Index (NYA) on top of the XLP/NYA ‘static time’ cycles and you can see that – while not perfect (remember this is a monthly chart and we could have some slippage in the overlay) it’s not a stretch to say that when the ratio has bottomed, the market has topped or topped soon thereafter w/ a month or so.
This market ‘could’ explode higher when we lose this support … all I know is we have 18 years of some pretty accurate ‘static cycles’ shown.
I’ll stay the course … need a WEEKLY close below the “15 year support zone” before initiating a long position.
I’ve been having a lot of fun over at https://www.stockmarkettv.com/ – check out some of the most recent posts: https://www.stockmarkettv.com/james-bartelloni
PS – no reason for the wave picture, I just felt like it would be a cool snap to put as a featured image.
Ratio Analysis and TIME – July 3, 2025
Happy 4th of July weekend everyone … enjoy it safely w/ family and friends.
If you’re interested, maybe go checkout the America Codes: https://tobeornottobe.org/
Or this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P9byS1biWtU
Either way ..enjoy.
Posted this last night about ‘risk’ – https://www.stockmarkettv.com/2025-07-02/ratio-analysis-last-resistance-point-still-standing
The key takeaway from this post is the TIME cycles that appear to be converging ‘now into August’ As shown below, anytime the ratio starts heading up – a correction has ensued. The question – are we going to breakdown below the support zone?
I don’t invest in breakdowns or breakouts – lost a lot of money doing that as it would then rip back against me. Nope, I wait …
So, very impressive V recovery and what appears to be another leg up in a roaring economy. Yup … I’ll wait for the PATTERN so I’m flat equities, for now.
The chart above is the ‘reason’ we have found support and have been bouncing around.
This is why this ratio is soooo key. Anytime it bottoms, the market corrects.
The reason I’m cautious is because of TIME. Note the dual cycle convergence happening now. Remember, this is a monthly chart so we are simply in a time zone where the ratio could bottom and start higher. Historically, that has proven to be resistance for equities.
Of course, it’s different this time.
How about this one …this is
Great weekend to all – Bart
Psychedelics – June 23, 2025
Spent last week in Denver, CO checking out the Psychedelics Science Conference for the company that I am currently working doing strategic business development. Wayne Gretzky says, “skate to where the puck is going to be” and that is the general consensus w/ regards to this community.
It was an interesting perspective for me because, on the one hand my company CHEORS does HEOR/RWE. Basically during the clinical trial phase a LOT of data is spun off, or past CT’s or literature in peer-review articles, etc. etc. Our job is to take all that data and either doing some modeling or ‘RWE – real world evidence’ or evidence synthesis to tell your particular value story. That’s what we do and we do it quite well …
On the other hand, I’m on the board of directors for http://www.behindthinlines.com and we work supporting education and research for entheogenic modalities.
Personally, I’ve done psychedelics and, no kidding, it’s one of the most powerful experience (s) 😉 of my life. I DO NOT do them recreationally because, frankly, that is not in the spirit of the ceremony.
So, it was like the scene from Animal House where both the angel and the devil appear on opposites sides of his shoulder … pharma vs ceremony.
I’m not going to claim to know the answer – I don’t. A blend of ceremony and science – that’s the answer. Compromise people … 🙂
Not all Pharma is bad pharma … I’ve worked in the industry for almost 10 years providing patient support services and am currently knee deep in the biotech world. It’s actually quite fascinating. Think about the intricate nature of the body and the quantum computer it is and … you’re telling me you can find a unique pathway and molecule that not only will interact w/ this temple, but also fix it? Pretty impressive …
Yet, on the other hand, how can a plant or secretions from a toad impact the quantum computer projection device called the brain? Completely bypass your reticular activating system and limbic system to propel you into the void or colloidal condition where ‘stillness’ does exist?
Who knows …
I’m betting that the ‘blend’ of science/ceremony will find common ground and merge – those who want ceremony, go into door 1. Those who want the PROVEN therapeutic value these entheogenic plants can give you, and nothing else (no hallucinations), go into door 2.
PSIL – I’ve been long for a while and just want to update you on ETF that tracks this nascent (trust me – VERY) sector. For this count to remain valid, price cannot close below “c” or less than 9-10 bucks. Big readout today. Check it out:
Global Dow – June 22, 2025
Posted on June 22, 2025 1 Comment
If you search on this site for the Global Dow you will see that I’ve been searching for a top in this index as it certainly appears, from a Ray Charles perspective, to be 1,2,3,4,5.
Did some more work on this when I got back from the Psychedelics Science Conference before the US bombed Iran.
KBW – June 16, 2025
Posted on June 16, 2025 2 Comments
My last post on the KBW showed 139 as the key resistance based on a measured move target. The high being hit on February 7, 2025.
Here’s the link to that post: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2025/01/06/kbw-january-6-2025/
That top, in/around 139-140 is SQUARED OUT on 06/26/2025. Keep an eye on that date.
Here’s a chart from a while ago (October 19,2021) showing how, even though time has passed, the targets still remain:
Here’s the most recent price action on a Monthly … if we take the most recent swing high at 139-140 out to the upside then do believe we have a VERY strong target in the 155 area and the 160-162. YES I WILL BE WATCHING 161.8 for the resistance. 🙂
Explanation:
- Blue arrows – represent PRICE measured moves and have been responsible for every up and down move w/in this security. IF (still need to continue surging higher (I DO NOT know if we will or we won’t) we take out the highs then 155 and then 160-162 is the target.
- 59/18 is a calculation of the fundamental frequency … that target is much higher in the top right.
- The black solid and dashed lines are projections … notice the dashed black line lands right where the blue measured move vector ends. 155.
- There are extension targets and the initial impulse move projection is 3.142 AB=CD.
This ‘should’ be very strong resistance for the KBW. Only time will tell.
Remember, we still need to take out the highs … not sure if will do that. Who knows …
IBM and the Golden Mean – in time – June 9, 2025
Posted on June 9, 2025 Leave a Comment
To follow the IBM bouncing ball: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2025/06/05/ibm-june-5-2025/
The Golden Mean, in time, for IBM:
IBM – June 5, 2025
Posted on June 5, 2025 3 Comments
Have been playing w/ IBM for a while. You can ‘search’ IBM on the page or this is a pretty good link to show some interesting vibrations/waves w/in IBM. Frankly, I had forgotten about some of the work I had done on IBM.
Need to slow down … https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2023/02/25/ibm-february-25-2023/
Anyway, IF long IBM THEN look at taking some profit per the target below or tighten the stop. Remember, folks, it’s all probability sometimes they work and sometimes they don’t.
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