NYA – October 13, 2025 – Square Out
This was an amazing square out of PRICE and TIME for the NYA at 21,863 calendar days since inception and hitting a price of, well, 21, 863.
To show the fractal nature of time I decided to see what 21,863 minutes from the all time high would be:
Pretty amazing …
Silver – 11/13/2025
Interesting that this pattern got smoked. It was a very nice set up!
Still calling this a ‘b’ so we now have 5 waves down in a C-wave. That was a pretty deep retracement so this one might be tricky but, again, I believe this is a corrective move occurring and we are going to want to get long Silver again.
Lower is in the cards if/when we break thru (to the downside) the grey top trend line.
Let’s see if the ‘old resistance’ (that was projected) shown by the red zone that it blew thru is ‘new support’ – the green zone.
B of A (BAC) – November 3, 2025
Here’s the last post on BAC: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2016/09/04/bank-of-america-short-pattern/ Yup, all the way back in 2016! Important because this is a GREAT example of a failed pattern. Why bring this up, now?
Well, I’ve talked to a couple people over the past couple days and they are all STILL very bullish. Consensus. We are going higher. This is going to explode … GET LONG!
Not arguing this, just showing you guys what I SEE not what I BELIEVE. I see some significant resistance up here. It’s just a PATTERN.
So, IF we do have patterns FAIL up here THEN we could have an explosive move, much like the move that followed in BAC shown below. BOOM …I’m not kidding, either. This market could explode higher and vacuum in a way that, might be unimaginable. Go for it! That being said, when your ants in the backyard start telepathically communicate w/ you it might be time to take some profits because, the correction following such a parabolic move will be monumental and, perhaps, market breaking. Hence, how about a little correction … 10-15% and then start the climber higher. If I was I back in the jet flying like the euphoria that I sense/feel in the chatter and energy present, I might, knowing what I know now, down myself or just go on leave or do something to walk away and decompress and RESPECT the environment in which you are playing so you can approach this big game of risk w/ a humbleness born from risking it a little too much once or just enough to scare the dickens out of you …but you lived. Now might be that time. Or ….NOT! To be or not to be …it really doesn’t matter. 😉
Banks – lead us UP and lead us DOWN. Here’s bell weather folks w/ a TON of math coming in here or a little higher. Want to test our thesis? If BAC SMOKES the levels shown below then this market is really about to explode higher. Banks ..up up and away! So does the market …
However, if BAC stops in/around here …then the patterns shown w/ the DOW, the perfect square out w/ the NYSE Index Inception, not to mention Square Outs of the ATL on the DJIA and it’s inception date of May 26, 1896 along w/ multiple trend lines … an actual LOG trend line from the peak in 1929 is being hit … the resistance should appear here and now.
Throw in the Bradley Stock Market Model (Thanks Larry P http://www.tradingtutor.com) and we are at a very important point in time. Note, the Bradley Model is a timing tool more than anything … based on some trend ‘stuff’ it has an idea of the direction, that is not the most important part of the Bradley. It’s the TIME component … that day w/in a day or two is the key.
So, now you can see, the PATTERNS that we are seeing are ALSO coming into play w/ a Bradley Stock Market Model Date. BOOM …
We will know soon enough.
Bart
PS – want to acknowledge all the sources below. Hat Tip.
Silver – November 2, 2025
I still see one more leg higher.
I’m also holding off, for now, on a long term count.. Why? Well, I told you NOT to trust my counting even though I do try. Remember, it’s all about the corrections – learn THOSE. Anyway, I see a VERY bullish count after these 5 waves complete but I don’t believe it. Right now, whatever wave this is or isn’t in the BIG SCHEME of things, I can see, pretty easily (which is scary) this as a wave 3 top – we are now correcting in a wave 4 – and then after this pullback we launch to new highs …
A nice ‘buy zone’ is appearing … this is what I’m monitoring to go LONG SILVER.
Below the lowest red horizontal line will, more than likely, lead to a loss as I just don’t see it going any lower than this BUT it’s all probability.
Last, note the how we are having the measured move corrections (red arrows) land right on the past .618 price projection. You’ve hard me say “remember the past price projections” as they count also! That’s a good first target and then, in this leg that I’m counting, we have 3 overlapping ratio’s along w/ structured polarity (resistance becomes support and support becomes resistance – polarity, yin-yang, divine feminine – divine masculine, good vs evil, light vs dark – this is a game of polarity folks – inhale, exhale.) on top of that confluence level. This looks nice …
5 waves down – A wave.
3 waves up – B wave (complete or a little higher)
5 waves down in a pretty nasty C wave into the buy zones as shown
BUY into new highs …
Cheers – Bart
Projection from 1896 – 11/1/2025
Here’s the DJIA squaring out price and time from it’s all time low, it’s inception in May 1896 and the use of 28.98 (the all time low) and how THAT low has responsible for ALL major support and projections. Pretty wild … take some time to study this chart. It’s a beauty …
Folks, resistance for now, ELSE this is truly going to lift off and, frankly, you might run w/ it a little bit but that’s really the last thing we want. As in everything, PRICE and TIME will have to balance and the emotional euphoria of the masses in a parabolic explosion ALWAYS gets countered, remember it’s all polarity, by a pretty wicked counter move which wipes everyone out and then … it’s back to square one. Trust me, I know.
I’m NOT calling for a crash or anything like that. Frankly, I don’t know how I’d see a crash coming? Isn’t that why they are crashes? No, I’m saying, resistance here and a pause or nice 15 percent or so pullback is needed and makes sense.
Certainly believe we have legs higher, but cool it off, a little, for now.
TLT – October 27, 2025
Sitting in the airport in Tokyo just going thru files and deleting, filing and trying to make sense of my computer … so many screen shots, charts, pictures, etc. etc. but I did come across this gem, which, of course, I had totally forgotten about …
Hello from Tokyo – 10/27/2025
Sitting in the ANA lounge pushing some charts around after a complete 2 week hiatus visiting my daughter, her hubby and the latest grandchild (7) to enter our family two short months ago – Jaya Zion. Such an amazing vacation and the first time – in a while – that I hit complete decompression. A total checkout …
Not gonna lie, I was somewhat surprised at the continued relentless advance. Simply impressive. I try (I really do) to not be a BEAR or a BULL but just a ‘pattern dude’ and go w/ the patterns. It makes the world so much easier …
Here’s the DJIA:
Inception May 26, 1896 – calendar day square out
All time low August 08, 1896 – calendar day square out
A little higher two projection targets …
Here’s the NYSE Index:
Inception Date January 3, 1966 – square the range complete and calendar day square out just a little higher along w/ 1.618-1.68179 projection targets and then the orange projection a tad bit higher. Resistance …? Bueller?
Take a look at the NASDAQ – completely smoked the 4.236 projection from the all time low and look at those past months of candles. KABOOM … I’m not ‘trying’ to force anything but I do find it interesting that if we take the calendar day count from today’s close we get an exact 10 year ‘echo’ of the inception of the NASDAQ. Hmmmm … blow this one off, I’m forcing it.
Here’s the NASDAQ 100:
Here’s the S&P 500 approaching the 4.236 projection – remember – the NASDAQ smoked it. Just showing it …
Here’s the KBW – guess that ‘storm’ has passed. Really don’t know, I’ve been in Bali for two weeks but when I left things seemed to be kicking off …?
Here’s Mr. Steady … XLP/ NYA. REALLY want it to go down and tag that BUY level … but it is holding above. Come on, man ..
Here’s the Philadelphia Semi-Conductor Index. Those blue measured moves have been important in the past!
“May we all live in interesting times …” – this certainly is!
What an amazing vacation …
Bart
the ‘last one’ standing – October 14, 2025
Posted on October 14, 2025 Leave a Comment
THE square out of the NYA has occurred and we got w/in .28 percent of squaring out the all time low on the DJIA.
That being said, my one trusty indicator – XLP/NYA DID NOT hit the ‘buy’ signal which is a signal to ‘sell stocks’ so new highs could certainly be made, however, I sense with all of these other targets being hit that we are in a window of price resistance.
Again, is this THE high or a temporary pause in an ongoing bull market.
Don’t know .. just looking for another pattern.
Bart's Charts 