TSLA – May 11, 2026
TSLA certainly looks like it wants to attack one more high THEN we need to start being very careful w/ TSLA as I can see 5 waves up.
Also, the most recent all time high, just doesn’t look and feel like that was a top … believe we have one more wave higher.
That being said, if the NASDAQ starts selling off, seems that TSLA will do the same.
Crucial week … either way, the SELL PATTERN on TSLA is approaching a little higher. A PERFECT overlaps of the ABCD projection, .618 retrace and 1.618 BC extension land right on top of each other. SHOULD BE RESISTANCE.
When we have a pattern w/ a lot of thrust approaching the level, it’s usually best to step aside and look for a signal reversal candle or a bearish engulfing pattern. Let’s see if the pattern is able to hold … or not.
Avis (CAR) and Extremes – May 10, 2026
I do not like to do “post mortem’ charting because it’s the ‘could have would have’ syndrome … see what I ‘would’ have done. No, I like to do everything pretty much real time. In this case, however, just to give an example of a parabolic move higher followed by a bust then look no further than CAR.
It EXPLODED in a frenzy … that frenzy needs to be balanced and will (as shown) balance it out by a corresponding amount of fear. Hence, it’s down 82 percent from the all time high. OUCH …
Check out INTC right now … check out the Semi-conductors right now … IF you are long enjoy the ride but realize on runs like this the carpet will, literally, get pulled right out from under you.
In flying we used to call it Bullseye Nose High … 90 degrees nose up w/ the engines in burner (more than likely a compressor stall in the F14A :)) and the jet just can’t go any higher. And when the jet simply has no more power to climb .. it falls.
It’s physics folks …
Attractors – May 10, 2026
My bud Ponch is going to BLOW AWAY the Hedgeye crowd this week …trust me.
I had a conversation w/ him late last week ( we have talked continuously for 2+ years ) and simply thanked him for, literally, teaching me the ‘real OODA LOOP’ such that pretty much everything around us is controlled by this masterfully complex yet simple in design ‘loop.’
To imagine the John Boyd literally studied the Hermetica and beyond to complete his theory of how living systems persist thru time is hard when the ‘loop’ seems so simple. It’s actually brilliant.
Tune into this talk …
Got me thinking … not that I’m anywhere close to where Ponch and Mr. Boyd are from an intellectual capacity perspective but I have gone down the rabbit hole, pretty deep. Almost came out in China to be honest …
My friend Alan Green told Ponch and I that Einstein was “obsessed w/ simplicity.” Think about it … E=MC^2. One of the MOST complex subjects distilled to that. Elegance in simplicity …
That’s why, ultimately, I simply trust the harmonics of the measured move. Why?
Because they are the basis for the fractal nature of our entire universe.
If PRICE = TIME … in that, say, a high price of 40 will spin of time cycles of 40 … minutes, seconds, days, degrees of planetary travel, etc. etc. then the harmonics of time are directly equal to the amplitude of the price move.
So, as you will see in the charts below, the MEASURED MOVE contains all the DNA (key here folks) for those who are invested in a particular security or index. The theory being that on the quantum level all the vibratory aspects of ACTION w/in, say, the stock of SBUX is manifested by geometric attractors – just like everything – that create the foundation energetic footprint of the masses. Since we push a stock up or down based on greed and fear those price vectors ultimately HAVE to contain a DNA element w/in them containing time.
What IS the ultimate guide for time w/in this 3D construct called “life” or “earth” if you will? The planets …
Don’t believe me?
“And God said, Let there be lights in the firmament of the heaven to divide the day from the night; and let them be for signs, and for seasons, and for days, and years.”
— Genesis 1:14
Or, do your own work:
Genesis 1:14–19 Genesis 1:16 Psalm 104:19 Psalm 104:20–23 Psalm 19:1 Psalm 8:3 Psalm 74:16 Psalm 136:7–9 Psalm 147:4 Job 38:31–33 Job 9:9 Job 26:13 Jeremiah 31:35 Amos 5:8 Isaiah 40:26
Psalm 104:19 is especially direct: “He appointed the moon for seasons; the sun knows its going down.”
Job 38:31–33 is worth highlighting — God asks Job whether he can “bind the Pleiades” or “bring out Mazzaroth in its season,” implying the constellations/planets operate on a divine schedule.
Jeremiah 31:35 refers to God giving the sun, moon, and stars as a “fixed order” — another strong timekeeping verse.
So, ultimately, there is a harmonic sheet of music being played …the below is an application that I received from Michael Jenkins and its the location of the planets, heliocentric, the date of the low for the Great Financial Crisis.
The numbers are the degrees of separation, helio, between the planets on that date. That date was a tremendously key low from a cycles perspective. Ya think?
So, if that is the beat of ALL the planets – think of it as the reflection of the beat of the masses on that date – when the orchestra of the world, perhaps, transitioned there emotion of fear to greed. A transition like the one that occurs in Led Zeppelin’s Classic Kashmir … a new beat. Since this is the ‘orchestra’ of the markets any/all future and (foot stomp) past market movements are harmonic to this ‘beat.’
It’s not just one planet or set of planets …it’s the entire orchestra that transitions. You catching what I’m throwing down …?
You see, every angle is key and not only every angle but also planetary travel of individual planets. And, yes, of course, tertiary angles … picture each planet as a musical instrument in the orchestra of the market. Each has a role and it’s multi functional and, frankly, multi dimensional (I said it).
So, how do you keep track of square outs, fundamental frequency targets, square of nine price and time targets, planetary and geometric angles based on the platonic solids, planetary motion, etc. etc. You don’t but … AI certainly might be able? Ya think …?
Is this doable … honestly, not sure. That being said, having read Alan Green’s book DEEcoding Shakespeare 3 times one can see that AI is not necessarily needed as John Dee, who downloaded the Enochian Tables from Angels (documented) and encrypted Shakespeare in a 3D manner (shown in the picture above) could certainly see the movement and flow of everything.
Just ‘playing around’ w/ an LLM I created a planetary AI Agent to look for cycles … the above is what it came up with. This is having NO access to any market data. Well, here’s what is interesting … look at that, a measured move, on a confluence zone on the date of a major cycle hitting …
All of this is a long way of saying that I simply trust the measured moves and, frankly, live and die by them as they are the truest indicator of market trends and emotions. Humor nature NEVER changes – why? Well, because it is ALL happening now just at different vibrations. Time … is not … linear. The UAP release should (operative word) give you some permission to explore this … don’t ya think?
So, tomorrow AM, I’m going on Stock Market TV w/ Spencer to talk the following charts.
BLUF: If we are up at the end of the week, then I would expect a parabolic blow off. But remember, we are dealing w/ quantum level emotions of the masses. At this level, for every action there is an equal an opposite reaction. So, when something takes off in a parabolic run like INTEL, it will have to be balanced by FEAR. That’s just the way it is folks … it’s physics.
I always start w/ this chart when I talk to Spencer. It’s the Global Dow from 3 months ago … this is a VERY key chart folks. NOTE, every single up move was equal to the BLUE MEASURED MOVE. EVERY SINGLE ONE which was then followed by a correction of – at a minimum – 16 months. Folks, almost a 1.5 year correction.
Well, here we are now … for the first time in 25 years it has blown thru this level. I have put another level above, but it has NEVER done this before. This is strength … we will see what the next target does or doesn’t. I just find it hard to believe (don’t trade what you believe, trade what you see) that after the same measured move we … failed.
One last, before we leave the Global Dow … same measured move price every time but take note the corrections have become less and less each time. Hmmmmm ….are we about to explode higher? Need to see some failures first …
NYA … New York Stock Exchange Index – NO NEW ALL TIME HIGHS.
Dow Jones Industrial Average – no new highs.
Here’s the Transports (throwing a little Dow Theory at ya) … take note of this longer term weekly chart. The blue measured move projections comes from the all time low. Then, the next two blue measured moves nagged the highs. Transports are down almost 20 percent from the high. Hmmmmm …
We watch the Banks … you’ve seen me type this and speak this before “just watch the banks .. they lead us up and they lead us down.” Well, they have completed their bullish measured moves and each time after that, the banks/financials corrected and the entire market followed. Here is the KBW NASDAQ Banking Index .. no new highs and largest measured moves in the history of this index: complete.
If you have followed me for a while, then you know I love to check out the patterns and measured moves on the XLP/ NYA ratio. Folks, remember, the low in the ratio was a perfect LOG price and time projection. Here’s the latest kicker … it’s completing the same exact pattern as it did in 2007. Yeah, no kidding check it out:
IF we were tremendously bullish, then I would expect this ratio to be falling pretty nicely … it’s making higher lows. And, the red moves up and down are exactly the same. Probability would tell us that the next move is higher in the ratio which tells us – weakness in stocks. 2007 weakness…? I have no clue but ‘should’ be some resistance …
Which leads us to the S&P 500 – folks, it’s simply finishing the next measured move:
Since the low in 2007 … every major move higher has run into significant resistance when completing a price move equal to the blue measured move. The move from the all time low to the high in 2000 … 0.618 of the blue measured move (or the monad – I’ll stop there)
How about the Semi-conductors. Ding Ding measured move arriving. Note, as the buying intensifies the measured moves expand from the initial monad, moving to the next geometric nodal intersection in the platonic space which is naturally corresponding to the gold mean 1.618 and music. Tilt? What …
The frequency of a string is proportional to the square root of its tension, inversely proportional to its length, and inversely proportional to the square root of its linear mass density (mass per unit length).
So, square roots and inverses have a direct relationship to the vibration or frequency of a string … square root of 1.618 = 1.27.
The Golden Mean and music … note, the measured move of the DJ Transports has expanded 1.27 of the Monad. Just like everything in creation vibrates to create geometries found w/in the platonic space attractors, the same thing happens w/in the vibratory energy of fear and greed of the masses. It’s harmonic and fractal based on the golden mean and sacred geometry. It has to be …
Looks like 12, 110 ‘ish’ should offer resistance …
Last, the NASDAQ … ABCD from the all time low.
Market has hit resistance and corrects – looking for a double digit CORRECTION for now. If aggressive WAIT fora weekly signal reversal candle or weekly bearish engulfing panel to short.
If long and nicely long, stay long but keep in mind that we have hit and are hitting some MAJOR targets so … put a mental stop in place. I know we all expect and think the market can never go down and, if it does, I’ll just ride it out might not be the best position to take if things REALLY start selling off. So … I’ll be looking to BUY at a MONTHLY measured move level. Why? That is the predominant cycle level we are hitting right now. (hint hint, if you haven’t figure it out, the measured move is ultimately a ‘cycle’ finder because there ARE harmonic cycles present at the end of these longer term month measured moves – hence monthly cycles. 🙂
Market has hit resistance, doesn’t care and parabolically explodes higher. Completely doable … why? Where else is the WORLD going to go … look outside our borders and things are getting quite messy in Asia and Europe. Capital needs to flow somewhere … hello USA.
Here’s the last slide of my deck. I bet he doesn’t show it … I am SO thankful for my time w/ Mr. Alan W. Green. Everything occurring makes sense …he is the one who has opened my eyes to the script being played out right in front of us …
The amazing irony as the USA approaches its 250th birthday and the exact 400 year anniversary of the publishing of The New Atlantis by John Dee. (John Dee being the potential author of Shakespeare and called himself 007 – not kidding) He demanded, before he died, that it be published on July 4th, 1626. 400 years ago … 400 is the number w/ regards to size and distances of the sun and moon which, ultimately, signify the Divine Masculine and the Divine Feminine and that is WHY they are able to make an eclipse and become ONE.
Anyway … what are the chances that the 47th President (Iran has been at war for us for how man years? Oh yeah, that is righ – 47! When was the Roswell UFO crash? July 4th, 1947. Look it up … ) and the current Pope are not only both Americans but their numbers are important. Tilt, again?
Sure, divide 47/14 … you get the Prevost Constant. Pope Leo 14th is … Robert Edward Prevost.
When the 47th President and the 14th Pope emerged simultaneously, their ordinal positions divided to trace the Prévost Constant — the infinite sum of all Fibonacci reciprocals, a number that encodes the totality of nature’s own sequence. In this, the universe whispers that these two men do not merely hold office, but occupy resonant positions in a deeper mathematical order, their tension and opposition the living expression of growth against convergence, expansion against wholeness.
Pay attention to EXTREMES April 29, 2026
Just saying folks …
INTC – really? I mean look at that move !! It blew thru the ABCD but has now hit the EXTREME measured move that took the mania into the tech high of the 2000’s … hmmmmm. I’ve got some extension and projection targets higher as shown BUT the point is, look at that EXTREME move …hmmm.
But wait, there’s more! Anyone seen or heard about the Dow Jones Transportation Average?
and, well look at that, here comes the price of gasoline! What an EXTREME move …
So, from a socio-economic perspective I just wonder, what the underlying vibration is to cause such EXTREME behavior. Not sure anyone remembers but just a few weeks ago we had a planetary parade and a major alignment of many of our planets … I’ll let you draw your own conclusions from that statement.
Perhaps, to put in my good friend, Ponch’s parlance, perhaps some sort of ‘outside behavior’ was given a snapshot in time to reorient us into extremes.
We’ve seen these patterns before my friends. You know it and you feel it.
If you are long and have been running w/ the bulls I’d stay w/ it … there is a probable (flip the coin) chance this puppy could explode in a parabolic lift off.
If you are trying to chase it and get in … i wouldn’t enter here. People who have been long will have an opportunity to evaluate a stop loss and control losses IF this is a big pullback. Getting in now, COULD be like getting in right at or near the top. Sorry, might need to wait this out and go look at Bonds or some commodity plays,. (Silver and Gold are going to make new highs again .. I”m watching that one closely, just haven’t been posting about it. Just not yet is what I’m thinking ..we’ll know in a week or two. This will – more than likely be a BIG MOVE just due to the geopolitical nature around us.
For those looking to short, just have to be patient. Just waiting on a GOOD LONG TERM sell pattern. And that’s the point. A LOT of the long term patterns to short the market have failed. So, don’t be surprised if this market propels higher. Just have to wait.
And, one last example. KABOOM and off we go … show me – one time – where a take off like this has not led to a spectacular crash. Folks, it’s taking off parabolic so, again, if your riding this wave stay on it – it could go for a year or more w/ this chaos and emotion BUT be quick to bail because it’s close to some targets. Else, just wait … off she goes!
Markets – April 27, 2026
BLUF: I am still in a defensive mindset and will remain so until a SELL PATTERN is triggered on the XLP/NYA or the low that was made a few weeks ago is taken out to the downside.
The technology sector continues to launch into the upper limits of a historic run. My good friend, Larry P (www.tradingtutor.com) put out his weekly newsletter and yesterday he wrote:
“The Sox index has been up 18 days in a row. The odds of this
happening are over 300 to 1. The S&P 500 broke all records this
week by going up for 15 days in a row. That’s the most since
records began in 1897. In the last 126 years, it’s only happened
four times.”
He also put out this chart around the ‘expected’ cycles for the rest of the year:
Here’s the expected cycle for the S&P 500:
So, when we look at the NASDAQ what do we see:
From the all time low in/around 55 we project w/ the ‘black’ line and we have a target zone just a little higher. Additionally, we project w/ the ‘orange’ line and the ‘blue’ line from the 2002 low we get the same target zone. The entire band is around 4% so w/ the cycle shown on the SemiConductor Index and the targets on the NASDAQ, I expect significant resistance.
Most of the targets derived have been resistance but nothing has stopped it for a big correction.
Above is the Global Dow … measured moves hit, perfectly. Take note, each time we have completed a measured move in PRICE (blue arrows) the market has corrected, at a minimum 16 months. Over a year folks …this has happened EVERY year for the past 25 years. If you look at the one measured move (between waves 4 and 5) you will see a very sharp correction after the initial top and then blast off into the latest resistance. Is this going to happen again? Believe we will see, soon.
S&P 500, above, hitting 4.236 price projection from initial seed vector – all time low to high in 2007. Note, the gap left behind on the daily is, supposedly, one of the largest gaps ever.
Here’s our trusty ratio .. take note, it has NOT made new lows even though some indices continue to climb the wall of worry … overall, I would be defensive w/ stocks and not chase this market … until we take out the low on the ratio (green shaded area) be careful.
The DJ Transports took off to smack right into a 50 year trend channel (log) and has immediately reversing …
As we have discussed, many times here, the Banks/Financials lead us UP and lead us DOWN. Right now, the XLF has NOT made new highs.
NASDAQ Banking Index … no new highs.
In the fixed income world, our opinion has not changed. One more thrust lower out of the multi year triangle and then major support at the .618 retracement from the 1981 low.
The rally cries for the demise of the dollar and all that … not seeing it as long as we stay above the 93.50 zone shown below, I’m a dollar bull.
The semi-conductor industry has been exploding …
We need to pay attention to Taiwan. The New Taiwan Dollar has shown some correlation to the Philadelphia SOX index:
As for the alternative digital currencies, I’m still looking for lower. Folks, again, if my count is correct we have FINISHED a 5 wave sequence, which I’m calling wave 1 and we are correcting in wave 2. If you are a bull for Bitcoin, I would still wait.
Folks, Gasonline prices aren’t going down anytime soon ….they shot out of the wedge and BOOM off to the races. Can’t see this slowing down for now.
Crude Oil – April 8, 2026
Apologize for being absent for so long during this volatile time. Honestly, moved into a new start up doing amazing things and, while I’ve certainly had my one eye on the market every day, I really haven’t been paying attention to it because, well, even though a TON of long term targets were hit and the volatility is pretty wild, it really HASN’T broken down …yet. I say yet, not as a fatalist, not at all. But just from the fact that our brothers and sisters in Egypt are w/out power – right now. Yup, they cut it. Look it up … Over in Asia, fuel shortages and rationing and minimal work days. The supply chain has been severely disrupted folks and, once again, if you are in the US we are sitting pretty – for now – due to our energy independence and a host of other things. And, trust me, that’s just me looking at it objectively. This is going create a rougher patch than the ‘glancing flesh wounds’ that are hitting peeps here and there … in the immortal words of the Dude “well, that’s your opinion man …” Yup and that is all it is …
So, w/ all the emotion flowing around I thought I’d take a look at Crude. Haven’t looked at it for a LONG time. Why? Mostly, because I didn’t know what to do w/ that -40 ish price. Yeah, no kidding … but, tonight, I just went “screw it, that was a price, so it counts.” Certainly appears to work …
What’s pretty amazing? In the height of, one would say, emotions like those who remember living thru 9-11, this conflict with Iran ranks up there in the “big deal” world. Guess what, the ratio’s and patterns are present throughout the conflict! Don’t believe me? See below … fractals peeps, it’s all fractals.
Ultimately, we will realize that the ‘seed’ is EVERYTHING. That initial measured move vector from an IPO or a big low or high contains the ‘DNA’ for that security. It has to be that way … just like the entire universe, that DNA creates a harmonic musical representation of the vibrational interactions of anything or anyone interested in said security at the quantum level which then creates the summation vibration of those emotions represented in price and time. Guess what, nature does the same thing …
So, after letting the emotional vibration play out in both fear and euphoria …they have left us THE seed to now manage risk in this insane environment. You see what happened there …? While you go thru the same emotions as those actually trying to trade these insanely volatile moods, you contribute to the footprint that is being left on the charts but you have the discipline to wait. So, you wait for the emotions – for this particularly security of Crude Oil Continuous Futures – to form the measured moves which are now your graphical representation of – get this – the vibration associated w/ crude oil and this current conflict. Yup …
Now, ALL futures moves in this emotional environment will be harmonic to the footprints left behind by the masses. Below is our first attempt to harness that information:
Credit Markets – March 05, 2026
Picture this chart as a simple comparison between risky junk bonds (HYG) and safe government bonds (IEI), but shown as a “spread” or difference that highlights how much extra reward investors demand for taking on risk. When the line on the chart heads down, especially along those important grey trend lines, it means junk bonds are losing value faster than safe ones—investors are getting nervous and preferring security over high returns. Right now, with interest rates appearing to rise (making borrowing more expensive for companies), this downward trend could signal bigger problems in the credit markets, where businesses rely on loans to operate. Higher rates squeeze companies with lots of debt, and if they struggle to pay, it might lead to more defaults, just like we’ve seen in past economic rough patches.
Recent news from early 2026 is buzzing with worries about the private credit market, a massive $2-3 trillion area where non-bank lenders provide loans to businesses. For instance, experts fear the private credit bubble is about to pop due to rising investor withdrawals and firms like Blue Owl selling off loans to meet demands. Private credit stocks are signaling more pain ahead, with market volatility adding to the stress. Concerns are growing over the market’s rapid expansion and risks, especially in a higher-rate environment exposing weaknesses. Blue Owl’s recent stumble is reviving fears of a Bear Stearns-like moment, with default rates jumping. Investors are anxious about cracks in private credit, driven by AI pressures on sectors like software and broader economic uncertainty. If rising rates keep pushing this spread lower, it could mean tougher times for the economy, so watch how companies manage their debts
I will be watching the two ‘grey’ trendlines … a daily close below the lowest trend line (dashed) will definitely make the hairs on the back of my head stand up.
NO WAY OUT – February 18,2026
Posted on February 18, 2026 Leave a Comment
Folks, if you haven’t tuned into one of Ponch and Moose’s podcast, certainly recommend you do.
They recently had my friend/mentor Larry P on for a master class on fractals, sacred geometry and patterns.
Larry has been actively trading for over 50 years now – probably longer than some of you might be alive.
Worth the listen folks …
Hat tip Ponch, Moose and, of course, Larry:
Bart's Charts 