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Part VI: the S&P 500 conclusion
Posted on September 16, 2013 1 Comment
CONCLUSION part 1 – we went around the world and, objectively, noted that the rest of the world had not made new highs and that some of them were in downtrends confirmed by lower tops and lower lows. part 2 – I took my son to get his haircut yesterday and, after I posted the […]
Part V: S&P and Sector Rotation
Posted on September 16, 2013 2 Comments
before I started this blog I was afforded the opportunity to post w/ JC Parets (allstarcharts.com) from time to time. back in March I posted some thoughts on the importance of the Staples vs the S&P in ratio analysis form. here is the link to the post: http://allstarcharts.com/are-staples-the-key-to-this-market/ I recommend you read it. this analysis […]
Part IV: S&P and Energy
Posted on September 15, 2013 2 Comments
Below is one of my all time favorite charts … it’s a real time chart of the EXACT top in Crude Oil using a bunch of geometry, music and numbers. in this chart we see the square root of 12 (3.464), natural squares 121*121, geometrical arcs, 2.424 (12*2/12*2), square of nine targets, square root of […]
Part III: the S&P 500 and the influence of technology
Posted on September 14, 2013 3 Comments
As we discussed in our last post, technology has the biggest weight in the S&P 500, coming in around 17%. So, naturally, a quick look at the NASDAQ will give us a good feel of the technology sector and it’s importance to the S&P 500. In the world of retracement work/theory we like to look […]
Part II: the S&P 500 and “too big to fail”
Posted on September 14, 2013 3 Comments
Just like rotation w/in the circle of life (fixed income, FX, commodities and equities) it also occurs w/in the context of our markets. The S&P 500 has different weights given to different sectors. Take for instance, the financials (and of course the topic of this post) – in 2009 they made up only 8% of […]
Part 1: The S&P 500 (but first we need to go around the world ….)
Posted on September 14, 2013 5 Comments
Since I’ve started a financial blog a couple weeks ago the response has been wonderful. THANKS … I have had multiple inquiries into doing an analysis of the equity market in the US. What I’ve tried to do is go thru 3 out of the 4 components of the circle of life (fixed income, commodities, […]
buy your Fruit Loops Now …here comes the Sugar Train
Posted on September 13, 2013 3 Comments
UPDATE: pattern appears to have held. too early to call a new trend in place, will obviously need to survive the first major pullback. w/ such a major down trend in place, expect the lows to be attacked again or not? A “normal” correction will be very bullish in my mind. been watching SUGAR for […]
The Great British Pound
Posted on September 12, 2013 1 Comment
Since it’s top in November 2007, the POUND has followed a nice script. It’s been extremely hard, I can imagine, for long term trend systems because it’s been stuck, I believe, in a multi-year triangle. As you can see from the charts, if this analysis is correct, then new lows below 1.3500 will be a […]
Good as Gold Part 2 of 2
Posted on September 8, 2013 2 Comments
Quickly, I’m wondering if it’s OK to say “I’m really not sure.” A case for one more low move on Silver was shown last week and, in part 1 we discussed how the gold/silver index certainly looks like a nice bottom has been carved. As you can see, I am trying to post the “past […]
Good as Gold Part 1 of 2
Posted on September 7, 2013 2 Comments
After the Silver post the inquiries regarding Gold have flooded in … so, in part 1 we’ll take a look at the Gold/Silver Index. The $XAU is the Philidelphia Gold/Silver Index and consists of 16 precious metal mining companies. This index and the $BUGS are the two most watched precious metal indices in the world. The […]
