Archives

the ratio (XLP/NYA) is the ONLY thing I’m watching w/ regard to equities …

I’ve been monitoring the ratio, daily, for a while as I really wanted the ratio to go down into the “major support” area as I could then feel probability was on my side to take a crack at shorting the market. yes, shorting the market … if you’ve been reading my blog for a while […]

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don’t forget this target on my favorite ratio …

note, on the monthly, looks like we will start the month closed below the key trend line from 2007. and he market accelerated upward. that being said, we are approaching the “target zone” for a lot of math and I also want to call your attention to the monthly RSI and the support zone that […]

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the Ratio … XLP/NYA giving us clues

the last time I posted about the XLP/NYA was here: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2021/01/24/ratio-analysis-key-level-hit-on-the-xlp-nyse-index/ as you can see, the ratio hit this level, held and the market sold off for a couple days. the market strength the past week has been impressive and, with that, the ratio “failed” at the level indicated and, as you can see, we […]

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XLP/$NYA – intraday update

XLP/NYA hit a nice buy pattern on Friday and based on the entire days action, there is another “minor” buy pattern appearing. if both of these hold, then the staples should continue to outperform which traditionally causes equity weakness. if we lose the levels, then we have the .786 ratio a little lower … either […]

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Ratio analysis, key level hit on the XLP/ NYSE Index

we have a very KEY level of support on the XLP/NYSE Index ratio. as you can see below … we have the measured move (dashed red line) equal to the largest correction in the ratio since the low in 2007 and w/ that the lowest level on the RSI in 12+ years. note, a bullish […]

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XLP/$NYA update

you can go to any financial site and check out “why” the equities sold off today … it could be any number of reasons. at the end of last week, we had a double 3 drives to a top pattern w/ timing that said “monday” is important … to me, it is as simple as […]

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Banks – HUGE support

Banks are very important to the overall health of the market … key support approaching! monitor closely …

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Banks – where are they?

there is an old adage – the banks lead you up and lead you down. the market has blasted to old all time highs or thru them and the banks…? well, they rallied a little but have not shown the strength of the overall market, especially technology. let’s keep a close eye on them over […]

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XLK/XLP update – Ratio Analysis and the power of waiting – update 11/5

11/05/2020 – yes, some insanity is ongoing everywhere. that being said, we trust PATTERNS and tune out all the noise. In this case, we had the expected reaction to the resistance levels sighted below and, now with this rally, we have another SELL pattern coming into play. SELL THE RATIO = SELL TECH. NOTE – […]

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XLK / XLP – still has major resistance just a little higher!

we had a sell off on the ratio a couple weeks ago BUT there was not follow thru and we still have the lingering level just a little higher which is the real test … again, until we have a strong weekly close above this level I’m in the conservative/flat camp as far at the […]

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