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the last time this happened the market corrected 26 percent …

11/9/2017 – as you can see below and on other post we have been hawking the ratio analysis of XLP / NYSE Index. Won’t go into the why here as that has been done a number of times. some key points to consider: we have completed the EXACT measured move correction and biggest since the […]

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XLP / NYA ratio analysis update

10/26/2017 – as you know, we were looking for support to hold on a .382 retracement of the XLP/NYA ratio. this support would cause a bounce or a move higher in the ratio and therefore bring volatility into the market.  NOT EVEN CLOSE … that level has been pierced and now lower targets are shown. […]

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when the big boys eat soup volatility rises ….update 2/20/2016

2/20/2016  Campbell’s soup has made new highs, shattering the pattern discussed below. Now, that pattern did hold for 7 months and resulted in a 20% decline.  However, when a monthly pattern that’s so nice in PRICE/TIME hits, one would expect a little more of a corrective move.  But, we live in a world of probability, […]

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my favorite ratio is still warning to stay defensive, for now ….

1/30/2016 – the market has rallied nicely off the most recent lows.  HOWEVER, I’m getting into “correction over” or “bull trend resumes” until this target shown below (updated) is hit and then we get a weekly signal reversal candle.  Take note – when the overall market is going UP this ratio should be going down. […]

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turn off the talking TV pundits, the endless Twitter feeds and defy human nature …

“defy human nature and do the work …” Jim Twentyman folks, the market is giving us a road map and, if we get our “heads out of the airplane” you can see it … what’s the “best” road map, in my HUMBLED opinion?  Ratio analysis using pattern recognition …the key w/ ratio analysis is it […]

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when the big boys eat soup volatility rises …. BOINK

11/4 – BOINK.  target hit … support here means “institutions” are getting conservative.  Hmmmmm, something to watch.  Here’s the comparison w/ the $NYA. Note how they are INVERSE. When the blue line ($NYA) is going UP the ratio goes down and when the ratio goes UP the $NYA goes down.  We’ve hit big time support […]

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when the big boys eat soup volatility rises ….update

October 18 2015: note, the CPB/NYA ratio has been straight down but it running into potential support a little lower.  The thesis is during times of “risk off” institutions roll into the staples and stuff like toilet paper, toothpaste, food, soup, etc. has stronger relative strength. Keep an eye on this next week as support […]

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when the big boys eat soup volatility rises ….

Below the two dashed lines is a post that I did 2 years ago – almost to the day.  Pretty amazing …some would call it synchronistic.  I’ll just leave it at that … Personally, I enjoy my Saturday and Sunday morning’s w/ a cup of coffee.  Nothing going on, put a little Pandora on the headset […]

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a “relative strength ratio” revisted …about to fall off a cliff?

CLIFF NOTES: the XLP/$NYA ratio, when it inflects UP or DOWN, has been responsible for every major pivot in the US Equity Structure over the past 14 years.  It is sitting on a cliff of support, which if lost, will signify a move OUT OF “risk adverse” asset class of staples and I would expect […]

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