the ABCD target on NVDA has been hit on the monthly (it actually went higher and did the 12th root of 2 (1.05946) which is the ratio used to tune the equal octave scale of music) with noticeable bearish divergence on the 14 period RSI. I expect some serious resistance. If we blow thru it, then this stock can run. I will update some of the higher targets later if we below thru this level.
additionally, we can see a 3 drives to a top on the daily.
“mind the gap” – huge gap support, as shown, lower.
Michael Jenkins taught me how to look for Mirror Image Foldbacks. (www.stockcyclesforecast.com) – he also showed me how they are planetary in nature … essentially, whatever planet or pair (s) of planets came together at the folkback point, they will also move “out” from that point causing the same pattern to appears as a “mirror image”.
This one is pretty nice in form and time. Note the TIME component from the “foldback point” hit today and is equal. Additionally, take a peak at the “form” of the moves from the foldback point .. yup, fractals of each other.
So, go long SQQQ and wouldn’t hold it too much below the blue line as the time component on this one looks almost perfect so my “thinking” (don’t think it hurts the team Bart” is we will know pretty soon. Oh, additionally, foldbacks like this fail when/where. MOST of the time, at the foldback point. So … it will work in/around here OR not.
Lot’s of volume in this security … interesting to see the volume go up and down ….
the gifts have been unwrapped and food a plenty has been consumed … the rest of the family is watching TV and were about to go walk the beach. rained last night so no surfing .. bacteria blows.
anyway, I’ve received more than a couple emails asking about the different strategies I laid out in my last post around a PATTERN level and how you could work them into your strategies.
in this case, let’s take a look at the chart below – the NASDAQ composite. I remember, quite vividly, blogging about the 6200 level on the NASDAQ. Why? Well, much like our NYSE Index pattern, you can see that the Nazzie had a very nice pattern from the all time low (AB=CD and 1.27 extension) the market didn’t even pause and blew right thru it …but, notice how it came back and touched it and then exploded higher!
that’s our Traders Tip – this level was ‘hidden’ in that it was a pattern that came from the low in 1974 and also the BC extension from 2000-2002. the market WILL come back to these levels and, the highest probability trade is to trade AT THAT LEVEL and go in the direction of the original break of the pattern. in this case, go long at the level.
notice what happens when we use a .618 projection of the AB leg .. in his case .618 AB at 4238. Just like the AB=CD, the market blew thru it and then came back to kiss it and then off it went … there are examples of this everywhere. the longer the time frame to create the pattern-the more important the level.
one last – notice the 1.618 AB = CD at 9315 … per my last post, around 3% higher, you’ll have a KEY level to trade short, tighten stop if long and wait for a monthly signal reversal candle, or do nothing and wait for a signal reversal candle or wait to see if the market blows thru this level and then patiently wait for the market to return to this level to go long …
I respect and honor all religions … so, Happy Festivus and enjoy family friends over the Holidays.
Bart
also, look at this clear as day SELL PATTERN on the Nasdaq / XLP ratio. when the blue boxed level gets hit, then SELL the NASDAQ. If, the 1.618 Nasdaq projection AND the Nasdaq/XLP level are being hit at the same time, your probability of an important level to short increases.
Palladium and the NASDAQ have tracked nicely .. watch the upcoming target closely
09/28/2019 – we blogged about this long term target back in March. It was hit on Friday. When we have two 1.618 projections and extensions coming together – it should be a big deal. The other to note is the fact that we have what’s called a “butterfly sell” pattern that hit on the daily and smacked right into the long term targets from 1996. If we get a weekly close below the 1604 ish level, then advise to become defensive. Updated charts below:
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would watch the target above, very closely, along w/ the NASDAQ weakness in the coming days/weeks.
12/16/2018 – take note of the MONTHLY LOG scale on the NASDAQ Composite. I’ve outlined 3 critical areas to monitor on the chart. Also, you’ll see in the second chart that back last March we ID’d the 7600 ish area as the target zone. The market went another, roughly 5% and then ran into another extension ratio. The square root of 3 or 1.732. It did a 173.2 percent extension from 2000-2002. My bust as this fit nicely into an AB=CD projection that was tracking right along w/ the QQQ. And, I know most everyone was unable to hear back in March someone advising caution … no big deal. Anyway, some pretty big support from our LOG trendlines are coming in … it certainly looks ‘heavy’ and as you can see from my previous blog about the XLP/NASDAQ it looks like it has some more room to go … the breaking of these LOG trend lines (on a weekly basis – wait for the end of the week) will signal some heavy selling pressure to come in …
if you look at the chart below … you’ll see the blue arrow measured move from the 2002-2007hit pretty much spot on ….
I add this to the “march” to 6200 because, well, I still think that is the target.
as for my followers – YOU know that I hate to give you the ‘could have’ and ‘would have’ and ‘should have’ w/ technical analysis …I have been pretty busy over the past month. So, I hastily sent this to a few friends around the banking index in a moment of free time….. the reason I’m showing this is two fold:
PATTERNS are all PROBABILITY ….
the BANKS lead us UP and they lead us down …
I really really don’t want to show anyone the world of ‘could of’ and ‘would of’ and ‘should of’ … but do want to give some heads up ..
if you look at the chart below … you’ll see the blue arrow measured move from the 2002-2007hit pretty much spot on ….
I add this to the “march” to 6200 because, well, I still think that is the target.
as for my followers – YOU know that I hate to give you the ‘could have’ and ‘would have’ and ‘should have’ w/ technical analysis …I have been pretty busy over the past month. So, I hastily sent this to a few friends around the banking index in a moment of free time….. the reason I’m showing this is two fold:
PATTERNS are all PROBABILITY ….
the BANKS lead us UP and they lead us down …
I really really don’t want to show anyone the world of ‘could of’ and ‘would of’ and ‘should of’ … but do want to give some heads up ..
