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why we should care about Australia

the All ordinaries never hit the target SELL pattern and this PATTERN is still valid.  the zone of 5760-5835 is the key w/ the old realiable .786 retrace up at 6060 the highest it “should” go if the SELL PATTERN is valid.  As you know we NEVER know which one works or doesn’t … what […]

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AAPL and Palladium – dancing w/ the stars?

  When looking at any security, I always try to look at cross market correlations (intermarket technical analysis I guess) to see if we can get correlations/confirmations.  One of the more important correlations has been the price of Palladium and the AAPL stock and to another extent the NASDAQ.  They are NOT perfectly correlated but […]

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EURO vs USD cross roads

I TRADE the spot currency market … as a CTA I deploy capital in the spot FX market. I am hawking the EURO and, quite frankly, it’s at a crossroads.  Why? 1) the BEARISH sentiment is at a MAJOR extreme … we have to take that into account. 2) I feel “pretty” confident on the count […]

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here’s how powerful the XLP/SPX ratio is …

below are a couple intraday charts of the “ratio” of XLP/SPX. note, ALL the major inflections (even intraday) are equal/opposite the overall market. so, where does that leave us?  Well, you can see a minor buy pattern (two blue triangles) but I favor lower where the .618/.786 overlap.  If/when this ratio hits that level I […]

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an ideal scenario – TO SHORT!

if you read this blog, then you’ll notice I’ve been pretty silent.  why? well, this is all playing out to plan … MAJOR patterns completed and, well, they took a long time to form and work to be quite honest. But, read below the two horizontal lines and you’ll see the PATTERN was calling for […]

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US STEEL – back to the neckline complete

  US Steel – X has gone back to the neckline.  Anywhere in the zone of 27-21 should begin another advance.  Am wrong if we get a daily close below the red trend line.           CLIFF NOTES: believe this breakout in X is real and it “should” come back down to […]

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who’s negotiating for PCLN?

  PCLN – 5 waves are complete and the first AB=CD appears at 1039.  Then 988 as former resistance ….these levels are KEY to the continued bull run of PCLN. An amazing run … however, it’s not a far stretch to say that 5 waves are complete.  If so … we should see 550 over […]

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ratio’s are really powerful

been blogging a BUNCH about the importance of the XLP / SPY ratio.  Why?  Well, EVERY turn since 2000 has been nearly exact to the ratio turning up or turning down.  here’s the chart: folks, it doesn’t get much better than that … the CANDLES is the ratio of XLP / SPY.  The BLUE LINE […]

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WYNN Polarity Principle

WYNN is at crucial support. Note, the highlighted blue areas were former resistance and we have found support in/around 175 as expected. I am showing the post below for a couple reasons: NOTE, we tried in/around this area once the pattern had completed from the IPO.  THE PATTERN FAILED … so, w/ sound money management […]

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IWM today PRICE equals TIME

would like the market to rally into October 8, 2014. recommend wait on IWM … if your a perma BULL this was a fantastic area to get long based on the PERFECT PATTERN.

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