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the key to the Ten Year Treasury Yield

I’ve highlighted an area w/ a blue rectangle. Folks, that’s 5 waves up so – ultimately we need another 5 wave move up to occur. I think that’s in work as of the close last week and have projected ten year yields to spike to 3.6-4.0 for now. Going to be interesting to watch … […]

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VIX Triangle Complete? ($vix)

in Elliott Wave theory a triangle occurs in 5 waves labeled a-b-c-d-e. a case can be made that the VIX completed the final (e) wave of a triangle on last Friday. this week is going to be crucial w/ so many patterns pointing to the downside …

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geometry of the midcaps ($MDY)

I like the tops and bottoms of circles … they are pretty powerful and not often used in the technical analysis community.  the reason they work is another subject for another time.  if you would like to know a little bit about their formation and their cyclical (price and time) characteristics hit me on email. […]

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I’m watching 4 things …

PATTERNS on the ES, $NYA, Banking Index and Yen to tell me if we break out to new highs. Banks are rolling.  That’s bullish – get thru level shown then we should surge higher Yen, after an entire 6 weeks of doing nothing – EXPLODED.  119.80 line in the sand ES “basic” AB=CD complete. NYA […]

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IF you do ONE thing please WATCH this video …

Larry Pesavento (www.tradingtutor.com) is not only a mentor but a true friend and guiding example of integrity, passion and truth in the financial markets. He’s 75 (acts like he’s 16) and has made his living trading the markets for 50+ years. It’s an extreme honor to call him a friend. SPOILER ALERT: over the years he called […]

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Crude “should” target 76-77 as a bounce target.

    Thus far, the low at 44.22 has held. Yes, we had an intraday spike below but – note – it closed above 44.22 and then ripped for a nice signal reversal candle to the upside and believe we could target 76-77 w/ 60-61 as initial resistance.

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$SHAK “Shake Rattle and Roll”

good morning … going to post a series of charts showing the ratio’s at work. I am not sure where this stock is going but wanted to post some charts this weekend and one of them is a demonstration of the ratio’s at work. the concept I like the most is the world of square […]

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Home Builders relook …

as you can see from below the Homebuilder Index (XHB) has broken out most recently from the congestion area highlighted in the link below and now has a target of 38. Not bullish or bearish – just a pattern guy.  so, as you can see below, we are finishing a PATTERN but what about the […]

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Aussie vs USD bottom in place?

Folks, back in October the post below the two dash lines was searching for a low to be in place on the AUD. The form and proportion were just about right. However, w/ the big move in crude, the interest rate extravaganza and the a whole host of other fundamental reasons the real issue is […]

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