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why we need to watch the Japanese Yen …

full disclosure … check out this chart below.  this is where I was stopped out of a LONG USD vs the JPY. this game is really hard, if you make it.  As my mentor and friend Larry Pesavento says – “trading/investing isn’t hard, but it sure isn’t easy.”  I was pretty cocky 7-8 years ago […]

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OK … just put on ECHOES from 44 years ago – PCLN is DONE

an amazing day today … but tired. a picture paints a thousand words … enjoy ECHOES Pink Floyd as you STUDY the PATTERNS on this short. LOOK OUT BELOW .. (I think) NOTE … weather this is a “c” or “3” w/ regard to this stock  – the move developing right now is going to […]

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IWM — checkmate (but crank up Dark Side of the Moon and a glass of wine before reading)

  IWM … so, in October of 2013 (yes, more than a year ago) I was beating the drum of a very important top forthcoming top/target zone in the IWM.  (An ETF of the Russel 2000.) See below the double line area … The zone depicted from that post in October  2013 is below and […]

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THE silver fractal … you want to study this chart

Fractals … see below for the definition. In the market, it happens all the time. The same PATTERN in FORM is playing itself out – from a fractal perspective – on a 5 minute chart and on a Monthly.  It’s actually pretty amazing to see … trust me, you won’t see them w/ the mess […]

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why we should care about Australia

the All ordinaries never hit the target SELL pattern and this PATTERN is still valid.  the zone of 5760-5835 is the key w/ the old realiable .786 retrace up at 6060 the highest it “should” go if the SELL PATTERN is valid.  As you know we NEVER know which one works or doesn’t … what […]

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AAPL and Palladium – dancing w/ the stars?

  When looking at any security, I always try to look at cross market correlations (intermarket technical analysis I guess) to see if we can get correlations/confirmations.  One of the more important correlations has been the price of Palladium and the AAPL stock and to another extent the NASDAQ.  They are NOT perfectly correlated but […]

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EURO vs USD cross roads

I TRADE the spot currency market … as a CTA I deploy capital in the spot FX market. I am hawking the EURO and, quite frankly, it’s at a crossroads.  Why? 1) the BEARISH sentiment is at a MAJOR extreme … we have to take that into account. 2) I feel “pretty” confident on the count […]

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here’s how powerful the XLP/SPX ratio is …

below are a couple intraday charts of the “ratio” of XLP/SPX. note, ALL the major inflections (even intraday) are equal/opposite the overall market. so, where does that leave us?  Well, you can see a minor buy pattern (two blue triangles) but I favor lower where the .618/.786 overlap.  If/when this ratio hits that level I […]

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an ideal scenario – TO SHORT!

if you read this blog, then you’ll notice I’ve been pretty silent.  why? well, this is all playing out to plan … MAJOR patterns completed and, well, they took a long time to form and work to be quite honest. But, read below the two horizontal lines and you’ll see the PATTERN was calling for […]

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