Archives

Trade / Investment of the Year?

you wait, patiently, for opportunities to appear which “change the game.” as many of you have been following me know, the swing patterns that we watch take some time to develop … in this case a thesis is made for the “trade of the year” to be SHORT EURO vs USD. what do we have […]

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US Dollar Index – beginning of the next move up? – update

05/21/2016 05/21/16 – note , same move up in PRICE and TIME.  Believe we should find some resistance here and the pullback should be BOUGHT for the USD index.        

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Addicting Adrenaline Fueled Adult Cowboys and Indians….the FED Rate Decision (rules of pattern recognition #3)

Note, Darth Vader and the Dark Side connotation with the mouse image below …. My biggest LOSSES were back in the day trying to trade the FED Decision in the spot currency markets.  There I said it. What I came to realize, for me – maybe not for you – is its addicting, adrenaline filled […]

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the Dollar Index as of March 13, 2016

here’s the near perfect pattern that began this monster advance in the dollar: additionally here is a very long term chart of the USD Index: I put my own levels on it below … some things to note: even in the midst of this monster rally – we still haven’t hit a .382 retracement from […]

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Dollar Index .. on it’s way

you know what, we might be surprised at how big this coming run is going to be for the dollar … make no doubt, the next rise has begun. if your already in, stay in. if your not, believe we’ll find some short term resistance in/around here for a pull back to 96.50 or so […]

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Using ratio analysis to look for inflection points …

I like ratio analysis .. it shows rotation, strength vs weakness and a bunch of stuff. Greece and Eurozone have been all the rage and, well, rightly so – I guess. But I’m trying to tune all that out and just draw some pictures. Here’s the deal .. when the DAX underperforms the NYA (the […]

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US Dollar Index

Folks, this one has been tough and has exceeded any of my previous projections for a pull back.  Is it parabolic?  Maybe? Kind of? But it is very overbought – ok I’m going to say it – EXTREMELY OVERBOUGHT and NEVER in the history of the index has there been this level of BULLISH SENTIMENT. […]

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EURO and 138 …

usually try to stay away from blindly buying or selling the .618 retracement … that number is the usual first introduction of people using leading indicators and sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn’t and people eventually say “hogwash” and run away from these techniques — GOOD!  however, when we have projections or overlapping patterns […]

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