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Japanese Yen Advance

I have been following this pattern closely … after an amazing move upward, we have been consolidating in what looks like a multi-month triangle.  From a counting perspective it does fit the  characteristics of a 4th wave so we’ll have to watch it closely for signs of the triangle being complete.  At this point, right […]

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Staples Strength vs the S&P

if you wan to catch up I recommend reading the following two posts: https://bartscharts.com/2013/09/22/the-upcoming-week-of-922-for-the-sp/ https://bartscharts.com/2013/09/25/the-ratio-of-staples-to-the-sp-xlp-spx-trust-me-its-important/ this AM, our pattern that we have been following has completed.  what does that mean?  the pattern either works or it doesn’t … if it works then our thesis is that the staples (as a sector of the overall market) […]

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the WMT greeter and inflection points

ratio analysis compares the relative strength of one security versus another.  if the numerator is stronger then the ratio will go up and vice versa.  what I try to look for are meaningful ratio’s that plot fear and greed and can warn us of potential inflection points in the market. I am going to make an […]

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Gold Silver Index – a guide for the yellow brick road?

To catch up to speed please view the following posts: https://bartscharts.com/2013/09/07/good-as-gold-part-1-of-2/ https://bartscharts.com/2013/09/08/good-as-gold-part-2-of-2/ the gold silver index is correcting (or continuing lower) to  very important levels – 88.69-89.36 or 86 or 84.21. We never know which level is going to hold or not … that being said, our continued outlook is to be bearish the metals […]

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Dollar Index done OR correcting or a little lower?

to get up to speed you can view my first post on the importance of the dollar: https://bartscharts.com/2013/08/20/the-usd-index/ so … if you have been reading/following I’m trying to get short the POUND or the EURO vs the Dollar.  The dollar is a huge deal and w/ the EURO making up 60% of the index, it’s good […]

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TSLA, Patterns and dogfighting an F-14 in afterburner (check fuel!)

when there are more BUYERS the stock goes UP when there are more SELLERS the stock goes down.  PERIOD … notice I didn’t mention anything about anything else because, quite frankly, NOTHING else matters.  It could be the smartest MBA in Finance or CFA or the geekiest CMT on the planet using all kinds of […]

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Great British Pound Update III and pumpkin soup

when I was flying and someone might have had a particularly bad night landing at the ship or performed the mission badly, invariably, someone would say “well at least your not eating pumpkin soup!”  the Vietnam POW’s (God Bless Them All) had as one of their main meals the wonderful bowl of pumpkin soup… so, […]

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FACEBOOK ….

as hard as I try … it’s simply hard to not get caught up in the emotion/hope and chaos of the IPO.  WE ARE ALL HUMAN! Let’s face it … FACEBOOK has changed the game. I spent last week at the Mid Atlantic Digital Marketing Summit and I was blown away by digital media and the […]

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finding a pattern and placing it in the intermarket circle of life …

Update: looks like the level has held so pay attention to FXI in the coming days. DEFINITION (BART’s) for the circle of life – fixed income, FX, equities (global and conus) and commodities and their symbiotic relationship. in this case, we have a BUY pattern coming in a little lower on the AUSSIE vs the […]

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the ratio of STAPLES to the S&P ($XLP / $SPX) – trust me, it’s important

if you have the time, please read this post: http://allstarcharts.com/are-staples-the-key-to-this-market/ .  You’ll note that I incorrectly saw a triangle and expected the market to roll over once the break out occurred.  that analysis was wrong … however, the market went UP when the ratio went down — exactly like it’s used to.  We are now approaching another […]

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