04/01/2018 – update
note, the prices bounced nicely off the long term Pitchfork (extended 1.27) and w/ the RSI buried deeply, this ‘bounce’ might surprise some as we work off an extreme oversold (monthly) condition since 1985. I still hold out that we have a MAJOR top in the Bond Complex and this is an opportunity to go long rates (short bonds) in the coming weeks.
this ‘trend line’ is the line in the sand w/ regard to bonds and the rate complex.
02/10/2018 – update.
note: a potential H+S MONTHLY top for the long bond along w/ a crucial adams pitchfork trendline make the area we are at RIGHT NOW crucial for the bond complex moving forward.
is Molly Hatchet – Flirting With Disaster – on the horizon?
here’s the daily chart updated showing target area was hit …
06/20/2017 – tracking SLOWLY up to the desire short zone. IF (the big IF) we are correct here the next move down is going to be very very strong. Hold onto your hats. A hint that the ‘thesis’ is wrong is if we blow thru the highlighted area. We shouldn’t …
1/21/2017 – would really like this to start back up again into the areas highlighted. could be the trade of the year …
sent to this to Andy and the gang over the weekend …let me know if you have any questions.