Archives

Bond Complex – September 5, 2024

white printer paper on brown wooden table

Bond complex coming into a key inflection point …

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TLT – February 2, 2024

For now, I see this as an A-B-C correction w/ a move down occurring which should be BOUGHT to take up into the mid 100’s – for now. I say for now because I’m a little “stung” (not that bad but just “stunned” ) I didn’t see the size of the rally in equities. I […]

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Bonds – July 30, 2023

sounds crazy, but sure looks like bonds are going to break the big support that’s been holding em’ up and, frankly, target the blue zone as shown in the below charts. Ummmm, ouch. Right? If my count is wrong, then we will go up and do another leg to finish the a-b-c corrective move BUT […]

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update on TLT and Bonds over @seeitmarket updated

06/20/2017 – tracking SLOWLY up to the desire short zone.  IF (the big IF) we are correct here the next move down is going to be very very strong.  Hold onto your hats.   A hint that the ‘thesis’ is wrong is if we blow thru the highlighted area.  We shouldn’t … Bart ____________________________________________________________________________________ 1/21/2017 […]

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Molly Hatchet and the Bond Complex – flirting with disaster? Update 04/01/2018

04/01/2018 – update note, the prices bounced nicely off the long term Pitchfork (extended 1.27) and w/ the RSI buried deeply, this ‘bounce’ might surprise some as we work off an extreme oversold (monthly) condition since 1985. I still hold out that we have a MAJOR top in the Bond Complex and this is an […]

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update on TLT and Bonds over @seeitmarket updated

1/21/2017 – would really like this to start back up again into the areas highlighted.  could be the trade of the year … sent to this to Andy and the gang over the weekend …let me know if you have any questions. Bart   TLT Update: Long Duration Treasury Bonds Deeply Oversold

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update on TLT and Bonds over @seeitmarket

sent to this to Andy and the gang over the weekend …let me know if you have any questions. Bart   TLT Update: Long Duration Treasury Bonds Deeply Oversold

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the key to the Ten Year Treasury Yield

I’ve highlighted an area w/ a blue rectangle. Folks, that’s 5 waves up so – ultimately we need another 5 wave move up to occur. I think that’s in work as of the close last week and have projected ten year yields to spike to 3.6-4.0 for now. Going to be interesting to watch … […]

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Fixed Income …at the inflection point

CLIFF NOTES: target hit on the long bond, last target hit on TBT, RYJUX hitting some key support.  No doubt the move up from the neckline and multi month consolidation is a big deal and now we’ll see if the neckline is attacked as we are suggesting. Note, it already came down and bounced off […]

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gameplan for the long bond structure …

CLIFF NOTES: if you look at the chart below, you will see an inverse head and shoulders pattern that had it’s genesis almost a year go – 07/2013.  Just recently (the past 3 trading days) we have broken from this neckline ….price on the bonds should start up.  Here’s the gameplan — expect the 137 […]

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