Archives

Interest Rates – July 06, 2023

I posted the chart below a little while back … it’s a chart of the ten year interest rates and what I’m trying to show is that, yes, banks and a lot of people got caught w/ the rising interest rates. Folks, it took 40 years to rise the 700 ish % .. we’ve done […]

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Long Bond Futures – May 15, 2023

If your a technician, you can’t help but notice the very long (month ish) consolidation occurring in the bond market. Today’s price action appears to want and break the support that has been around since March 15th. As you can see above, we do some ‘basic’ projections and right when the neckline breaks there is […]

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TBT – decision time

well, underwater on TBT. I’ve shown my entry and man did that look like a NICE one .. but, it’s all probability. folks there was a TON of math coming together in /around 17-18 and it got wiped out. but, we have some support holding at the .707. I’ll cut half my position on TBT […]

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TBT update

last post on TBT: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2021/06/20/tbt-3/ TBT has fallen into the bottom level of BUY zone and I’m long TBT in/around 18. A lot going on w/ his chart but wanted to show you some “other” geometry that I was working … you see, we can make arcs and develop trend lines using the geometry of […]

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TBT – tricky

please see chart below … ultimately, it’s about risk control and how much risk one is willing to take. our thesis is the 14-15 dollar low was a BIG low and we are very early in a multi-year (multi-decade (?)) rise in interest rates. yup, you just read that correctly …so to manage risk, one […]

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Yikes …. MAJOR SUPPORT for TLT

ton of math coming in 129-131 … for those bond proponents out there, this better hold or we could accelerate even more. figure a daily close below 128 is a failed pattern …

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TBT update

the last time blogged about TBT was here: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2020/03/08/tbt-buy-no-im-not-crazy/ doing an update as we can see the well defined downtrend that has been in place since, pretty much, inception in 2008. if you followed some of the other Bond work on the site then you would know our thesis is there is a MAJOR HIGH […]

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Bonds …time to pay attention

perfect TIME and PRICE patterns were hit today and, IF (a really big if) the count is correct we are on the verge of a very powerful move in the bonds …. the thesis was that we had a VERY VERY large top in March of this year at multiple waves of degree. the pattern […]

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