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TBT – tricky

please see chart below … ultimately, it’s about risk control and how much risk one is willing to take. our thesis is the 14-15 dollar low was a BIG low and we are very early in a multi-year (multi-decade (?)) rise in interest rates. yup, you just read that correctly …so to manage risk, one […]

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Yikes …. MAJOR SUPPORT for TLT

ton of math coming in 129-131 … for those bond proponents out there, this better hold or we could accelerate even more. figure a daily close below 128 is a failed pattern …

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Bonds …time to pay attention

perfect TIME and PRICE patterns were hit today and, IF (a really big if) the count is correct we are on the verge of a very powerful move in the bonds …. the thesis was that we had a VERY VERY large top in March of this year at multiple waves of degree. the pattern […]

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TBT

09/12/2019 – as discussed below, took my lumps on trying to go long TBT. so am watching it to try another LONG (yes LONG) TBT. note the volume spike and also the 52 ish percent moves down seem to cause bottoms. also, take a look at the 30 year continuous chart … we very well […]

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