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Quick update – FED FUNDS INTEREST RATE FUTURES – FF

05/22/2017 –  take note of the ‘potential’ for the polarity principle to take place.  in this case, where there is resistance there ‘should be’ support. ***note: the gap down below the former resistance w/ this months action. something to watch … a gap down and move lower signifies higher interest rates.  monitor closely. have a […]

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Interest rate forecast …updated

8/28/2014: the 2.358 level did not hold.  In fact, in the way I look at the market, the PATTERN caused the gap. the gap below the pattern is a big deal.  I’ve shown the projection/pattern that “caused” the low at 2.322.  right now, looks like our low back on August 15, 2014 will be attacked. […]

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Interest rate forecast …

8/22/2014 – if you read below you’ll read “my bet is on the TEN YEAR holding this low and starting back up ….”  If that is the case then we have a VERY NICE PATTERN appearing on the Ten Year Treasury Yield that has multiple confirmations going for it ….remember folks, this is a 5 […]

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Jackson Hole … let the games begin

CLIFF NOTES: folks, follow this link to catch up on the Fixed Income story: http://bartscharts.com//?s=fixed+income CLIFF NOTES 2: this is a tough one … the pattern in the fixed income market (30 year) failed and has gone much higher//the pattern on TBT failed.  HOWEVER, the long standing target on the TEN YEAR Treasury Yield was hit […]

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the initial impulse move … is the DNA

spent last night w/ my wife of 23 years and best friend since we were 15, at the Andrea Bocelli concert …as a self proclaimed market musician on many occasions I found myself w/ eyes closed trying to hear the different chords/tempo and harmony being blended.  it was pretty cool …so this morning I thought […]

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fixed income … the one more high or final high in place quick looks

take the time to catch up on  by reading/viewing charts from the below links… last post: http://bartscharts.com/2013/11/05/fixed-income-time-is-right-but-what-about-the-price-and-the-underlying-trend/ post that warned of a very important top – before I was blogging: http://allstarcharts.com/are-interest-rates-at-a-key-inflection-point/ bonds sold off hard on Friday and what could be the start of another leg down. let me digress for a bit .. I […]

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Fixed Income – TIME is right but what about the price and the underlying trend?

to catch up on prior fixed income posts: http://bartscharts.com/2013/10/30/its-fed-time-and-an-explanation-of-the-recent-price-action-in-fixed-income/ http://bartscharts.com/2013/10/21/plotting-the-next-move-in-fixed-income/ keep an eye on fixed income.  the two triangles shown at the bottom of the chart represent the PRICE and TIME extremes that have occurred w/in the context of the top in Bonds last year.  Note, the current rally has not exceeded either one in […]

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Plotting the next move in fixed income …

fixed income has bounced rather nicely and now the big question is “are we going to go to new highs?” 1.5 years ago, as fixed income flirted w/ the all time highs for 5 months we correctly saw multiple correlations that put the sell pattern present in context … http://allstarcharts.com/are-interest-rates-at-a-key-inflection-point/ from there, the bonds fell […]

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