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TBT – decision time
Posted on August 4, 2021 Leave a Comment
well, underwater on TBT. I’ve shown my entry and man did that look like a NICE one .. but, it’s all probability. folks there was a TON of math coming together in /around 17-18 and it got wiped out. but, we have some support holding at the .707. I’ll cut half my position on TBT […]
TBT update
Posted on July 11, 2021 1 Comment
last post on TBT: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2021/06/20/tbt-3/ TBT has fallen into the bottom level of BUY zone and I’m long TBT in/around 18. A lot going on w/ his chart but wanted to show you some “other” geometry that I was working … you see, we can make arcs and develop trend lines using the geometry of […]
TBT – tricky
Posted on April 15, 2021 Leave a Comment
please see chart below … ultimately, it’s about risk control and how much risk one is willing to take. our thesis is the 14-15 dollar low was a BIG low and we are very early in a multi-year (multi-decade (?)) rise in interest rates. yup, you just read that correctly …so to manage risk, one […]
TBT update
Posted on January 8, 2021 Leave a Comment
the last time blogged about TBT was here: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2020/03/08/tbt-buy-no-im-not-crazy/ doing an update as we can see the well defined downtrend that has been in place since, pretty much, inception in 2008. if you followed some of the other Bond work on the site then you would know our thesis is there is a MAJOR HIGH […]
Bonds …time to pay attention
Posted on December 11, 2020 Leave a Comment
perfect TIME and PRICE patterns were hit today and, IF (a really big if) the count is correct we are on the verge of a very powerful move in the bonds …. the thesis was that we had a VERY VERY large top in March of this year at multiple waves of degree. the pattern […]
Asian Open – Fed cuts rates to zero and possible mirror image foldback NYSE Index
Posted on March 15, 2020 2 Comments
here’s last weeks post on the Asian Open and the YEN. level worked pretty well and we rallied pretty much all week. the USD vs YEN should stay below the 108.46 level and/or 109.866. if (the big if) this sell signal works then it ‘should’ put pressure on the equities: even w/ the FED cutting […]
TBT – BUY (?) No, I’m not crazy UPDATE 06/08/2020
Posted on March 8, 2020 1 Comment
06/08/2020 UPDATE: breakout from a long base and inverted head and shoulders and appears to be going back to the neckline for the BUY. the “low” was right inside a tight “buy” zone depicted below. ______________________________________________________________________________________________ yes, I know that even thinking of BUYING TBT in this current market is insane BUT I really don’t […]
Interest Rates … the trend is your friend, till it ends
Posted on February 23, 2020 Leave a Comment
the trend is your friend till it ends …
TBT
Posted on August 8, 2019 Leave a Comment
09/12/2019 – as discussed below, took my lumps on trying to go long TBT. so am watching it to try another LONG (yes LONG) TBT. note the volume spike and also the 52 ish percent moves down seem to cause bottoms. also, take a look at the 30 year continuous chart … we very well […]