Fixed Income …at the inflection point

CLIFF NOTES: target hit on the long bond, last target hit on TBT, RYJUX hitting some key support.  No doubt the move up from the neckline and multi month consolidation is a big deal and now we’ll see if the neckline is attacked as we are suggesting. Note, it already came down and bounced off the neckline for a very nice LONG Bond opportunity.  W/ this many patterns completing there is, of course 1 of 2 things that are going to occur … THEY WORK or DO NOT WORK.

CLIFF NOTES 2: we showed this chart before but note the FRACTAL that was present in the LONG BOND is EXACTLY the same as 10/1987. Not making any crazy crash forecasts just bringing it up that the PATTERN was EXACT.

Watch these levels very very closely ….

Main20140516085418 Main20140516085803 Main20140516085846 Main20140516090616 Main20140516090900 Main20140516091113

Plotting the next move in fixed income …

fixed income has bounced rather nicely and now the big question is “are we going to go to new highs?”

1.5 years ago, as fixed income flirted w/ the all time highs for 5 months we correctly saw multiple correlations that put the sell pattern present in context …

http://allstarcharts.com/are-interest-rates-at-a-key-inflection-point/

from there, the bonds fell pretty hard into the lows that were hit a couple months ago:

http://bartscharts.com/2013/08/20/fixed-income-revisited/

this happened BEFORE the infamous FED meeting last month and I held my stance that the Buy Bonds (Sell Yield) was the side of the trade to be on:

http://bartscharts.com/2013/09/18/bruce-buffer-of-ufc-and-the-fed/

now, the question is will the bonds seek new highs suppressing yield to a great degree?  there is a count that favors this action, but honestly, I don’t know ..just have to realize that the correction that has occurred in fixed income is almost precisely in line w/ the “normal” corrections that have occurred in the context of this 30 year BULL market. things are truly about to get very very interesting ….

30 year continuous contract found major support ... a dead cat bounce or another move  to higher prices .. .stay tuned
30 year continuous contract found major support … a dead cat bounce or another move to higher prices .. .stay tuned