Archives

Interest Rates – January 14, 2025

a silver piggy bank near the magnifying glass and smartphone

Rates sure look like they want to tag 6% and are targeting the .382 retrace from 40 years ago.

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Bond Complex – September 5, 2024

white printer paper on brown wooden table

Bond complex coming into a key inflection point …

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TLT – February 2, 2024

For now, I see this as an A-B-C correction w/ a move down occurring which should be BOUGHT to take up into the mid 100’s – for now. I say for now because I’m a little “stung” (not that bad but just “stunned” ) I didn’t see the size of the rally in equities. I […]

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10 YR rates – October 18, 2023

The TLT trade at 84 https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2023/10/13/tlt-october-13-2023/ coincided to the day w/ Uranus moving 84 degrees helio. From an astrological perspective, degrees of movements of Uranus are important for bonds/fixed income – or so I am told. 😉 The chart appears heavy and certainly thought it would close below and keep rolling but .. it lived, […]

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TLT – October 16, 2023

Last post on TLT: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2023/10/13/tlt-october-13-2023/ Not out of the woods yet but we have a very nice BUY pattern setting up on the TLT hourly. For the wave 1 to be complete, this level needs to hold.

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Bonds – August 22, 2023

Last post on bonds: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2023/07/30/bonds-july-30-2023/ Well, rates are spiking and bond prices are falling like a stone. Yup … and to think, folks, this is just wave one down. As discussed about a month ago, the target for this ending wave down is now around 110 is and then, still, the zone lower in the […]

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TBT update

last post on TBT: https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2021/06/20/tbt-3/ TBT has fallen into the bottom level of BUY zone and I’m long TBT in/around 18. A lot going on w/ his chart but wanted to show you some “other” geometry that I was working … you see, we can make arcs and develop trend lines using the geometry of […]

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TBT – tricky

please see chart below … ultimately, it’s about risk control and how much risk one is willing to take. our thesis is the 14-15 dollar low was a BIG low and we are very early in a multi-year (multi-decade (?)) rise in interest rates. yup, you just read that correctly …so to manage risk, one […]

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