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TLT update ..

TLT – the daily sell pattern, in FEB 2016, has held and the move down today was helpful. this pattern fails if we get above 133-134. Watch, closely. Bart

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update to TLT and 30 year continuous futures …April

04/23/2016 very important level coming into play w/ the TLT. watch 125 for support but if bearish bonds then this level must fail.  if not, then we’ll keep bouncing around in this chaos.   Fed Fund Futures haven’t budged … higher interest rates?   03/14/2016     02/27/16 – TLT, if correct, should be losing […]

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update to TLT and 30 year continuous futures …

03/1482016     02/27/16 – TLT, if correct, should be losing steam over the coming days/weeks. Initial target appears to be 109-111.   note, if this pattern fails, then 145 is a very strong target as shown below. also note, the cycle top times came in w/ pattern completion.  right now, favor the short side […]

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update to TLT and 30 year continuous futures …

  02/27/16 – TLT, if correct, should be losing steam over the coming days/weeks. Initial target appears to be 109-111.   note, if this pattern fails, then 145 is a very strong target as shown below. also note, the cycle top times came in w/ pattern completion.  right now, favor the short side into the […]

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the next move in $TLT is “probably” DOWN …

folks, it’s ALL probability and as a pattern recognition trader that’s all you worry about. When a pattern appears it’s simply a probability it’s going to work OR not … that simple. so, take a look at TLT … first note – we have a very clear 5 waves down.  that’s either the beginning of […]

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long bond BUY pattern is now a long bond SELL pattern

1/13/2016 – update. so … just as the long bond buy pattern didn’t get any better than this (see below) the long bond now has a sell pattern that doesn’t get any better than this.  cool, hugh?  I really don’t give a shit about anything other than the PATTERN. as I said below … “patterns […]

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long bond BUY pattern

patterns work and sometimes they don’t work. nice BUY pattern on the long bond and the ETF TLT. watch this one closely …  

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anyone else notice the GAP DOWN in Fed Fund Futures?

I will claim, right now, to have ZERO IDEA or INTEREST what fundamentals drive interest rate policy.  Not a clue.  However, I will claim to be able to read charts to manage risk. Am I “right” every time … well yes, because I know where I’m wrong every time (TILT) because I’m a pattern dude. […]

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