Archives

Bond Complex – September 5, 2024

white printer paper on brown wooden table

Bond complex coming into a key inflection point …

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TLT – February 2, 2024

For now, I see this as an A-B-C correction w/ a move down occurring which should be BOUGHT to take up into the mid 100’s – for now. I say for now because I’m a little “stung” (not that bad but just “stunned” ) I didn’t see the size of the rally in equities. I […]

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10 YR rates – October 18, 2023

The TLT trade at 84 https://atomic-temporary-44460632.wpcomstaging.com/2023/10/13/tlt-october-13-2023/ coincided to the day w/ Uranus moving 84 degrees helio. From an astrological perspective, degrees of movements of Uranus are important for bonds/fixed income – or so I am told. 😉 The chart appears heavy and certainly thought it would close below and keep rolling but .. it lived, […]

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Interest Rates – July 06, 2023

I posted the chart below a little while back … it’s a chart of the ten year interest rates and what I’m trying to show is that, yes, banks and a lot of people got caught w/ the rising interest rates. Folks, it took 40 years to rise the 700 ish % .. we’ve done […]

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US Inflation Rate – March 06, 2023

A case can be made for a 100+ year triangle is complete and inflation, while pulling back now, has begun a bull market? Yes, I know that sounds crazy .. but, either way, would hate to see a close above the that upper down sloping trend line …

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TBT – decision time

well, underwater on TBT. I’ve shown my entry and man did that look like a NICE one .. but, it’s all probability. folks there was a TON of math coming together in /around 17-18 and it got wiped out. but, we have some support holding at the .707. I’ll cut half my position on TBT […]

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TBT – tricky

please see chart below … ultimately, it’s about risk control and how much risk one is willing to take. our thesis is the 14-15 dollar low was a BIG low and we are very early in a multi-year (multi-decade (?)) rise in interest rates. yup, you just read that correctly …so to manage risk, one […]

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Yikes …. MAJOR SUPPORT for TLT

ton of math coming in 129-131 … for those bond proponents out there, this better hold or we could accelerate even more. figure a daily close below 128 is a failed pattern …

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