Trade / Investment of the Year?

12/31/2016 – just updating the ‘trade of the year 2016’ from August. I’m updating it because, right now, at the end of 2016 I don’t have a CLEAR CUT pattern.  This triangle worked out grandly … we’ve hit a sentiment extreme in the Gold and EURO pessimism world so probably time to start throttling it back a little.  We’ll see …

if anyone has some trade investment of the year ideas they would like to share – hit me.  again, I’m simply looking for a PATTERN.  the ‘trade of the year’ is a PATTERN not what I ‘believe’ but what I ‘see’ …

put the next 3 charts in context … they are an update to the post from August.  Study the post all the way thru …

as always, rock on, ok?

HAPPY NEW YEAR!

page_16-12-31_14-54-00 page_16-12-31_15-02-31 page_16-12-31_15-04-22

 

 



you wait, patiently, for opportunities to appear which “change the game.”

as many of you have been following me know, the swing patterns that we watch take some time to develop … in this case a thesis is made for the “trade of the year” to be SHORT EURO vs USD.

what do we have working?

here you go …

Page_16-08-17_08-29-17

note, the MATH stopped the decline of the EURO and we are carving out – almost exactly – the same pattern that appeared at the all time low of the EURO after it was introduced.  if you take the time to measure the moves …(I have) you’ll find the swings are almost exact.  the LAST TIME the EURO did this it EXPLODED in a multi-year advance that crushed the dollar. is that going to happen again …?

have no idea … but the “rule” from the great land of the CMT is that the consolidated triangle breaks in the direction of the trend going into it …so, in this case, the EURO “should” breakdown against the USD. As shown from the lows in early 2000 .. it certainly didn’t do that.  but here’s the daily … and remember the triangle has 5 legs labeled a,b,c,d,e ..

Page_16-08-17_21-02-07

here’s the dollar index pattern:

note we have an AB-CD present, a .618/.786 overlap and a 1.612 extension present.  THIS COULD BE THE SUPPORT TO CATAPULT THE DOLLAR HIGHER …just a pattern.

Page_16-08-17_20-55-06

it’s just a pattern but the probability that we are in the final ‘e’ leg of the 1.5+ year consolidation of the EURO is high … this is POTENTIALLY a monster move coming ….

let me know if you have any questions …

B

PS – here’s the geometry of the consolidation .. one line oriented w/ price and time and 90 degree angles created this trend line.  (I am writing this before I draw it – cheers)

Page_16-08-17_21-15-16

IF you take the time to study this – and why not if you subscribe to my blog you’ll find that MOST if not ALL the major pivots occurred around the construction of this simple square.

Here’s a great picture from Mr. Joe Dubs:

VItruvian-Man-Square-Circle-Green

here’s the monthly square:

Page_16-08-17_21-31-54

again, only one line created these trend lines and it was the low to high and then 90 degree angles. folks, take the time, defy human nature and prove it to yourself …look at the geometry present.

the other thing you can do, if you REALLY want to dig deep is to use the box height and widths to create the time cycles present in the EURO or any security. but I’m tired, it’s late …just think A^2+_B^2=C^2.  perhaps there was something to Pythagoras and the Music of The Spheres …or not.

Bart

Trade / Investment of the Year?

you wait, patiently, for opportunities to appear which “change the game.”

as many of you have been following me know, the swing patterns that we watch take some time to develop … in this case a thesis is made for the “trade of the year” to be SHORT EURO vs USD.

what do we have working?

here you go …

Page_16-08-17_08-29-17

note, the MATH stopped the decline of the EURO and we are carving out – almost exactly – the same pattern that appeared at the all time low of the EURO after it was introduced.  if you take the time to measure the moves …(I have) you’ll find the swings are almost exact.  the LAST TIME the EURO did this it EXPLODED in a multi-year advance that crushed the dollar. is that going to happen again …?

have no idea … but the “rule” from the great land of the CMT is that the consolidated triangle breaks in the direction of the trend going into it …so, in this case, the EURO “should” breakdown against the USD. As shown from the lows in early 2000 .. it certainly didn’t do that.  but here’s the daily … and remember the triangle has 5 legs labeled a,b,c,d,e ..

Page_16-08-17_21-02-07

here’s the dollar index pattern:

note we have an AB-CD present, a .618/.786 overlap and a 1.612 extension present.  THIS COULD BE THE SUPPORT TO CATAPULT THE DOLLAR HIGHER …just a pattern.

Page_16-08-17_20-55-06

it’s just a pattern but the probability that we are in the final ‘e’ leg of the 1.5+ year consolidation of the EURO is high … this is POTENTIALLY a monster move coming ….

let me know if you have any questions …

B

PS – here’s the geometry of the consolidation .. one line oriented w/ price and time and 90 degree angles created this trend line.  (I am writing this before I draw it – cheers)

Page_16-08-17_21-15-16

IF you take the time to study this – and why not if you subscribe to my blog you’ll find that MOST if not ALL the major pivots occurred around the construction of this simple square.

Here’s a great picture from Mr. Joe Dubs:

VItruvian-Man-Square-Circle-Green

here’s the monthly square:

Page_16-08-17_21-31-54

again, only one line created these trend lines and it was the low to high and then 90 degree angles. folks, take the time, defy human nature and prove it to yourself …look at the geometry present.

the other thing you can do, if you REALLY want to dig deep is to use the box height and widths to create the time cycles present in the EURO or any security. but I’m tired, it’s late …just think A^2+_B^2=C^2.  perhaps there was something to Pythagoras and the Music of The Spheres …or not.

Bart

EURO and 138 …

usually try to stay away from blindly buying or selling the .618 retracement … that number is the usual first introduction of people using leading indicators and sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn’t and people eventually say “hogwash” and run away from these techniques — GOOD!  however, when we have projections or overlapping patterns then I get interested in this level.  here’s the .618 retracement overlapping patterns:

overlapping patterns into .618
overlapping patterns into .618

 

Daily EURO look
Daily EURO look

here’s where the 138 gets interesting ….

1) the Euro vs USD, believe it or not, has been down 138 days.  and, having seen my past posts on the 66.6 months for the S&P and 1920 days since the low and the concept that PRICE equals time then if we do a calendar day count from the last high on the EURO on May 09, 2014 we get 138 days.  How do we convert that to PRICE in the FX ?  Well, we really don’t care about decimal points in the world of vibrations .. we care about the NUMBERS so convert like this:

  • HIGH was 1.3989 or 1.4000 (work w/ me people)
  • 1.4000 = 4000
  • 138 days = 1380 (also pretty close to 1382 or 1.382)
  • 4000-1380 = 2620
  • 2620 = 1.2620
  • 4000 square root = 63.25
  • (63.25-12)^2 = 1.2626

so, not trying to be a hero here BUT back when the dollar was at 79 I was recommending the BUY … but now, everyone and there brother is lighting up the twitter universe, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, Marketwatch and blah blah around the DOLLAR DOLLAR and the bearish sentiment for the EURO is massive … a perfect time for the EURO to bounce ….

Carving out a bottom folks … and, while I remain extremely bullish on the dollar am expecting the classic 3 wave corrective movement so … am going to let the .618 or .707 (square root of 2 – 1.4142, 1/1.4142 = .707) level prove it and then look for an OPPORUTNITY to BUY the pullback that SHOULD be a classic 3 waves …

EURO and the number 138
EURO and the number 138