EURGBP update

last EURGBP post: https://bartscharts.com/2021/04/01/eurgbp-2/

at this point, to protect a position, if you have one open, move stop to entry level at .8475.

you can see the “polarity” principle in play where the support in the spring of last year is now acting as resistance in the spring of this year …. hmmmm.

anyhoo … I’m looking for an initial target to take some off in/around 8850.

note the 38.2 and 50% retracements, largest measured move correction (dashed red line) and he polarity principle again but this time highlighted by a darker/bolder red. why? this level held as support for MONTHS and when it finally gave away, it gave away big …

note, depending on the form of the correction (if it even stops here) I might be looking to add on a pullback into the 8550-8600 area.

EURGBP set up and the form, proportion and harmony behind it

8/28/2016 – looks like it’s going to carve out 5 waves and then a 3 wave pullback and then another leg down …so a 5-3-5 (a-b-c) correction to be BOUGHT.  the reason I believe this is because we had a 5 wave move UP against the POUND here …

guess we’ll see, anyway, here’s the 4 hour chart updated.  note, the “target zone” worked pretty well.

for you Sunday thought of the day … why, if you look below, did ALL THE WORLD stopping going LONG the EURO vs the GBP and, basically, reverse their emotional feelings about the EUR vs the GBP and flip the switch?

I would submit – vibrations my friends. vibrations which are governed by music.  I digress.

B

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want to take a little time this AM to describe the set up coming in on the EURGBP:

  • from the all time high, we are coming up into the .618 retracement along w/ the AB=CD projection

Page_16-08-12_08-39-13

there is a lot of thrust coming into this level – but if we break it down into a lower time frame compression we have a very balanced move in form, proportion and balance:

  • fundamental frequency: think of a rock hitting the water.  how high, how heavy and how high all take into account the depth of the rocks penetration into the water and the corresponding waves which will be produced.  to calculate the fundamental frequency targets we use the initial impulse high and low and we get targets (shown by dashed red and purple lines) of .80378 and .86847.
    • Note the purple dashed line target when it was hit at 3.  Caused big resistance.
  • Also, if we PROJECT the initial move labeled 1 and multiply it’s length by PI (3.142) we get right into .87386.
  • I am showing a 1,2,3,4,5 (big numbers) and also showing minor 1,2,3,4,5 in the 5th leg.
    • also, note the symmetry of the moves shown by big wave 3=5 and minor 1=5.
  • Last, a 1.27 extension of the last swing into the .618 retracement.

also, believe this is a countertrend move .. either a wave B or 2 correction coming.

THESIS: short EUR vs GBP in/around 8707-8746. risk 50 pips …normal corrections have been roughly 400-500 pips. Thus a RR of 8:1 or 10:1.

worth it?

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EURGBP set up and the form, proportion and harmony behind it

want to take a little time this AM to describe the set up coming in on the EURGBP:

  • from the all time high, we are coming up into the .618 retracement along w/ the AB=CD projection

Page_16-08-12_08-39-13

there is a lot of thrust coming into this level – but if we break it down into a lower time frame compression we have a very balanced move in form, proportion and balance:

  • fundamental frequency: think of a rock hitting the water.  how high, how heavy and how high all take into account the depth of the rocks penetration into the water and the corresponding waves which will be produced.  to calculate the fundamental frequency targets we use the initial impulse high and low and we get targets (shown by dashed red and purple lines) of .80378 and .86847.
    • Note the purple dashed line target when it was hit at 3.  Caused big resistance.
  • Also, if we PROJECT the initial move labeled 1 and multiply it’s length by PI (3.142) we get right into .87386.
  • I am showing a 1,2,3,4,5 (big numbers) and also showing minor 1,2,3,4,5 in the 5th leg.
    • also, note the symmetry of the moves shown by big wave 3=5 and minor 1=5.
  • Last, a 1.27 extension of the last swing into the .618 retracement.

also, believe this is a countertrend move .. either a wave B or 2 correction coming.

THESIS: short EUR vs GBP in/around 8707-8746. risk 50 pips …normal corrections have been roughly 400-500 pips. Thus a RR of 8:1 or 10:1.

worth it?

Page_16-08-12_09-25-52