Orientation Update

Check out this one on MSTR. W/ everything going on, this might be a contrarian explosion higher.

Folks, not even going to pretend I know what direction Silver is going to go or IF my thesis about the first wave (of a lot more) in Bitcoin being complete and if MSTR is going to hold this major pattern. I don’t. They are just patterns and I’m trying to connect the dots the best I can. My frustration is “time” in that I know I could figure out the synthesis of time but, honestly, I’m waiting for a technology to appear and then I’m going to DUMP all of what I’ve studied the past 24 years into it and, I honestly think, it will be unlike anything ‘out there.’

The big key is thinking in the terms of OBJECTS (time as an object) and fractals (time as a fractal) and then the logic (help start a Virtual Reality software company 20 years ago – maybe THIS is why? 😉 of how to fuse the different disciplines of time computations (planetary, calendar/trading day, fundamental frequency, tides (yes, I said it – the tides), planetary returns, etc. etc. … so in this analysis I did a ‘little bit’ of time for MSTR and the ‘fractal’ of the golden mean is present w/ regards to trading day time and with the ‘Gutenberg Press Moment’ occurring in the Silver market globally, along w/ the FED playing Mr. Repo again, Japan raising their rates, Venzuella, China, Russia, Minnesota … I thought that this ‘time component’ is particularly compelling because, as of THIS day, China (worlds largest exporters of Silver peeps) is no longer allowing Silver to be exported out of China w/out strict controls. Yup, you read that right AND, as a former CFA (yes I played a Commodities Futures Advisor in a past light managing a small Spot FX account in … 2004-2009 (I WAS UP – but everyone had to roll their money out to cover losses!) I can tell you that something is amiss at the circle K when the physical (dare I say ‘real’) price is MUCH higher than the PAPER. (NY and London)

Now, call me a conspiracy theorist BUT are we, dare I type, seeing the first salvo of a global reset and economic warfare? Folks, just think about what’s going on right now …

Venezuela – big buddies? Russia, China … not big buddies? US

Silver – BIGGEST EXPORTER? China … paper players (paper tigers?) US, London

Back when I was being taught by Mr. Joe Dinappoli (www.fibtrader.com) he once said “never forget, YOU as a retail trader are entering into a cage w/ Gorillas that are mean, angry, hungry and are carrying lit dynamite!”

Folks, the dynamite has been burning for a PRETTY LONG TIME and the fuze is getting short.

Happy 2026 …

Be sure to have a stop in place for this one … (below the ‘green support’ is advisable) After reading the above … what if Bitcoin becomes a ‘real’ asset as the global gold/silver monetary value, along w/ a continual rise of the BRICS (precisely due to Russia being kicked out of the USD due to the Biden Administration) economic value, not to throw in natural disasters galore (more on that later if you would like ;)) and we have what is called a volatile situation.

This MSTR BUY could explode w/ a BIG RUN in bitcoin higher based on everything going on …

Microstrategy – January 16, 2025

Big sell pattern appearing on MSTR. Note, resistance right now makes sense …

MSTR sell pattern appearing …

Note, it’s paused right at the .618 price projection sitting on .786 of last swing. This resistance makes sense …

If/when we get a daily close above this level, it should (favorable probability) roll up to 404-405 and then, well, it will be judgement time.

Note what the last two ABCD patterns caused …

MicroStrategy – January 01, 2025

A VERY nice support zone appearing on MSTR.

Last post w/ MSTR in it – did a joint post w/ Bitcoin: https://bartscharts.com/2024/11/25/bitcoin-3/

Looks like we have a VERY nice support zone coming for MSTR. I REALLY like the measured move into the .618 from the all time low but there are other alternatives and here’s where a nice STRONG “C” wave would help so you could COUNT the waves (or at least try).

As you can see above, I wanted to buy MSTR and did understand the importance of it’s support level but I missed that one … the hope (always a strategy) was it would complete a sequence.

Anyhoo, here’s MSTR:

Bitcoin – November 25, 2024

Bitcoin and MSTR have hit major resistance. Not a sure bet higher for now …

Last post on Bitcoin: https://bartscharts.com/2024/10/29/bitcoin-october-29-2024/

The chart above was from about a month ago as it was pretty evident that Bitcoin was about to take off … and, boy did it!

It blew thru the ‘first test’ which was the ABCD and then it slammed into the first ‘potential target’ around 98-100.

What’s interesting – and not that we can make it a 1:1 correlation is MSTR. Microstrategy …

Slammed right into a ‘perfect’ 1.618 extension along w/ near perfect percentage measured moves. I totally blew it doing the measured moves and did NOT do the percentage measured moves and, that brought us to a target of around 420. If I used the percentage measured move – near perfect slamming into a 1.618 extension.

Folks, IF my count is right AND MSTR is down 25% in a few days then, perhaps we have hit some strong resistance for the Coin.

BITCOIN and MSTR – Sept 4, 2024

BITCOIN Futures and Microstrategy showing VERY important support levels for the continued BULLISH advance.

Bitcoin and MSTR (Microstrategy) shake and jive well together.

If we look at the MSTR chart we have a couple things going on:

  • Square Out – WD Gann said you could square out a high, a low or a range. In this case, we took the range of the move from the high to low and converted that to calendar days. That gives us a DATE of 9/30/2024. The ‘perfect’ scenario would be for PRICE to be at the BUY PATTERN level shown on 9/30. We shall see …
  • Take a look at the RED MEASURED MOVE – it lands right on top of the projection and a .618 retracement. We like that ..
  • The second chart is some more work looking for the key levels – shown in Green for MSTR.
  • Last, took LOG SCALE measured moves and, in doing that, shows a nice target appearing higher on MSTR.

  • Certainly looks like a ‘valid’ 5 wave count so I do feel confident in saying – be cautious – as this 5th wave could have ended but certainly looks like it wants to make another run higher …
  • IF this PATTERN fails on MSTR then would expect the support to give away on Bitcoin futures. If it holds, then we “should” be off to new highs into the target areas shown for Bitcoin.